Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Markets opened the week on a positive note as signs of a slowing US economy raised hopes for interest rate cuts. While softer job data might typically worry investors, it’s now fuelling confidence that the Federal Reserve could ease policy – setting the tone for a cautious but optimistic August.
The bullish momentum followed a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, which strengthened investor expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates as early as next month.
The benchmark index led the broader advance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 585 points – a 1.3% gain – while the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite jumped 2%.
Notably, small-cap stocks also joined the rally, pointing to wider market participation beyond just mega-cap tech names.
This broad-based move suggests that investors quickly brushed off the initial concerns sparked by Friday’s disappointing employment data.
Cooling job market reshapes Fed outlook
Investor sentiment shifted significantly following the latest Non-Farm Payrolls report released last Friday.
The US economy added just 73,000 jobs in July – well below expectations – and revisions for May and June showed substantially lower figures than previously reported.
In response, market participants have drastically recalibrated their expectations for monetary policy.
According to futures markets, there is now a 92.1% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September – up sharply from the 38% probability priced in before the jobs report was released.
This growing divergence between softening economic indicators and the Fed’s recent guidance has increased the likelihood of policy easing.
Last month’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report added to this view, revealing that core inflation declined for a third straight month – further fuelling hopes of a rate cut.
Market analysis: August volatility poses fresh test for bulls
As traders enter August – a historically turbulent month for equities – caution may be warranted.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has delivered its worst monthly performance in August since 1988, and similar seasonal weakness often affects both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
Tomorrow wraps July, historically the most bullish month for the S&P 500 over the past 20 years.
But don’t get too comfortable. August and September? Historically choppy. September is the worst month on record.
This backdrop means traders should be prepared for increased market volatility. The continuation of the recent rally will likely depend on incoming data that confirms a cooling US economy, maintaining pressure on the Federal Reserve to act.
Technically, the S&P 500 has shown strong gains since 2 August, as seen on the 15-minute chart, followed by a consolidation phase.
The early-week momentum appears to be fading, suggesting potential for a near-term pullback. Currently, the index sits at a pivotal level, with technical indicators pointing to possible downside risk.
Picture: SP500 hovers near 6340 after a rebound from 6214, but upside momentum appears to be fading, as seen on the VT Markets app.
The first key level to monitor is the lower boundary of the consolidation range at 6336.65. A break below this zone could lead to a test of deeper support.
The 30-period moving average – around 6325 – is another crucial marker. A close below this level would indicate the uptrend is losing steam and a more meaningful correction may be underway.
Looking ahead, traders are focused on the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims report due Thursday, 7 August.
This data release could either reinforce the market’s current optimism for rate cuts or challenge it – depending on whether further signs of labour market weakness emerge.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
5 August 2025, Sydney, Australia – VT Markets‘ 10 week global trading competition, VT Trading Arena, has reached new milestones, reinforcing its status as one of the premier global trading events of the year as traders compete for a share of the remarkable USD1,000,000 prize pool.
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Understanding the difference between hawkish and dovish monetary policy is essential for interpreting central bank decisions and their impact on financial markets. Dovish and hawkish are contrasting approaches in monetary policy, with each stance representing a different response to inflation, interest rates, and economic growth. The contrast between these two approaches helps explain how institutions like the Federal Reserve respond to changing economic conditions. In this article, we explain the meaning of hawkish vs dovish, highlight their key differences, and explore how each stance can influence major markets—using real-life examples to bring the concepts to life.
What Does Hawkish Mean?
A hawkish stance in monetary policy refers to a central bank’s preference for raising interest rates to control inflation. Policymakers with a hawkish outlook, often called hawks, see inflation as a primary risk to economic stability and act proactively to prevent it from spiraling. The primary goal of hawkish policy is to control inflation, even if it comes at the expense of economic growth or employment. An inflation hawk is a policymaker who prioritizes controlling inflation through higher interest rates and a hawkish stance. This often involves tightening monetary conditions—such as reducing asset purchases or increasing rates—even if it slows economic growth or raises borrowing costs. A hawkish central bank signals that maintaining price stability takes precedence over short-term economic growth.
Example: In 2022, the U.S. Federal Reserve adopted a hawkish tone by raising interest rates multiple times to combat rising inflation. This shift aimed to slow down borrowing and reduce consumer spending to bring prices under control.
Hawkish meaning in short: A policy approach focused on tightening monetary conditions to control inflation.
What Does Dovish Mean?
A dovish stance in monetary policy reflects a central bank’s preference for lower interest rates to support economic growth and reduce unemployment. Doves tend to focus on stimulating the economy and are more tolerant of higher inflation if it means supporting job creation and economic expansion. Policymakers with dovish tendencies generally advocate for expansionary policies, such as looser monetary policy, which involves lowering interest rates and increasing the money supply to encourage borrowing, spending, and investment. Reducing unemployment is a key objective of dovish policy, as these measures are designed to boost hiring and stabilize the labor market. An economic policy advisor may recommend dovish strategies to promote growth, especially during periods of slow growth or recession. While it may lead to higher inflation over time, the main goal of a dovish approach is to boost economic activity and stabilize the labor market.
Example: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, many central banks, including the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve, implemented dovish policies by cutting interest rates to near zero and introducing stimulus measures.
Dovish meaning in short: A monetary policy approach aimed at promoting economic growth through accommodative measures.
Hawkish vs Dovish: What Are the Key Differences?
In monetary policy discussions, the terms ‘hawks and doves’ are commonly used as metaphors to describe contrasting stances: ‘hawks’ favor tighter policies to control inflation, while ‘doves’ support looser policies to encourage growth and employment.
Below is a clear comparison of dovish vs hawkish policies, highlighting the hawkish and dovish tendencies that central banks may adopt. The terms hawkish and dovish refer to these opposing approaches, with ‘hawkish’ indicating a focus on inflation control and ‘dovish’ emphasizing economic growth.
Feature
Hawkish Policy
Dovish Policy
Interest Rates
Higher rates to reduce inflation
Lower rates to stimulate growth
Economic Priority
Price stability and inflation control
Economic expansion and employment
Policy Tools
Rate hikes, balance sheet reductions
Rate cuts, quantitative easing
Market Perception
Strong currency, cautious stock market
Weaker currency, bullish equities
Common During
High inflation periods
Economic recessions or slowdowns
1. Interest Rates
Hawkish: A hawkish central bank raises interest rates to slow down economic activity. High interest rates make it more expensive to borrow, which discourages both consumers and businesses from taking out loans, mortgages, and credit. As borrowing becomes costlier, spending and investment tend to decrease. The goal is to reduce demand in the economy and prevent inflation from rising too quickly.
Dovish: A dovish central bank lowers interest rates to stimulate the economy. Lower borrowing costs encourage consumers and businesses to spend and invest more, which helps support economic growth, especially during downturns or weak demand periods.
2. Economic Priority
Hawkish: The main focus is on controlling inflation and maintaining price stability. Hawkish policymakers are willing to sacrifice short-term growth or tolerate higher unemployment to keep inflation in check.
Dovish: The priority is promoting economic growth and supporting employment. Dovish policymakers are more comfortable with slightly higher inflation if it helps create jobs and drives economic recovery. Their goal is often to stimulate economic growth and create more jobs through measures such as lowering interest rates and quantitative easing.
3. Policy Tools
Hawkish: Typical tools include raising interest rates, reducing the central bank’s balance sheet, and limiting liquidity in the financial system. These measures tighten financial conditions to cool off an overheating economy. Implementing a tighter monetary policy helps control inflation but can also restrict economic growth and impact currency value.
Dovish: Tools often include cutting interest rates, purchasing financial assets (quantitative easing), and increasing liquidity. By increasing the supply of money, these actions are designed to ease financial conditions and encourage spending and investment.
4. Market Perception
Hawkish: Markets often react to hawkish policies with a stronger currency, especially in forex markets, as investors seek higher yields. These policies are often implemented to prevent rising prices and price increases by controlling inflation through higher interest rates. However, higher rates can dampen stock market performance, particularly in interest-sensitive sectors like technology and real estate.
Dovish: Dovish policies typically lead to a weaker currency due to lower interest rates, which reduce returns on investment. However, equity markets often respond positively because cheap credit can boost corporate profits and encourage investment.
5. Common Economic Conditions
Hawkish: This stance is usually adopted when inflation is rising too quickly or when the economy is growing too fast, risking overheating. It is used as a corrective measure to cool down demand and restore balance. Sometimes, a hawkish stance is necessary to prevent runaway inflation, which can occur if demand exceeds supply and prices spiral out of control.
Dovish: A dovish approach is common during economic slowdowns, recessions, or periods of low inflation. Central banks use it to stimulate demand, boost consumer confidence, and support recovery efforts.
Pros and Cons of a Hawkish Monetary Policy
A hawkish monetary policy aims to control inflation and maintain price stability, but it also carries certain trade-offs.
Pros:
Controls inflation effectively: By raising interest rates, a hawkish policy reduces consumer demand, which helps bring inflation under control and protect purchasing power.
Strengthens the national currency: Higher interest rates often attract foreign capital, increasing demand for the currency and supporting exchange rate stability.
Prevents overheating of the economy: Slowing down excessive spending and investment helps reduce the risk of asset bubbles and unsustainable growth.
Cons:
May slow down economic growth: Tighter monetary conditions can discourage business expansion and consumer spending, which may lead to a slowdown in GDP.
Increases borrowing costs: Loans, mortgages, and credit become more expensive, affecting both households and businesses financially.
Can lead to higher unemployment in the short term: As growth slows, companies may cut back on hiring or lay off workers, particularly in interest-sensitive industries.
Pros and Cons of a Dovish Monetary Policy
A dovish monetary policy focuses on stimulating economic growth, but like any approach, it comes with both benefits and potential drawbacks.
Pros:
Encourages borrowing and investment: Lower interest rates make it cheaper for businesses to finance expansion and for consumers to spend more confidently.
Stimulates job creation and economic growth: Easier access to credit can lead to increased hiring, consumer demand, and overall economic activity.
Supports financial markets during downturns: Dovish policies often provide a safety net for markets by boosting liquidity and investor confidence.
Cons:
Can trigger inflation if overused: Prolonged low interest rates can overheat the economy and push prices up too quickly, eroding value.
May weaken the currency: Lower rates reduce foreign investment appeal, which can put downward pressure on the currency.
Reduces returns for savers: Interest earnings from savings accounts and fixed-income investments decline, affecting retirees and conservative investors.
How These Stances Affect Financial Markets
Understanding whether a central bank is hawkish or dovish helps traders and investors anticipate market trends. A hawkish tone usually leads to a stronger currency and weaker equity markets, especially in interest-sensitive sectors. On the other hand, a dovish stance often boosts stock markets but can lead to currency depreciation and higher commodity prices.
Hawkish Policy: Typically strengthens the national currency. Higher interest rates attract foreign capital as investors seek better returns, increasing demand for the currency. For example, a hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve often results in a stronger U.S. dollar against major currencies like the euro or yen.
Dovish Policy: Usually weakens the currency. Lower rates reduce the appeal of holding that currency, leading to outflows. This can make exports more competitive but may reduce international investment.
Hawkish Policy: This can put downward pressure on equities, especially in growth-sensitive sectors like technology. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs and reduce corporate profits, making stocks less attractive.
Dovish Policy: Often supports stock market growth. Lower rates reduce financing costs, boost consumer spending, and encourage risk-taking in equities, particularly in sectors that benefit from cheap credit.
Hawkish Policy: This may lead to short-term declines in major indices such as the S&P 500 or Nasdaq. Investors often rotate into safer assets or defensive sectors during periods of tightening.
Dovish Policy: Typically drives indices higher due to increased liquidity and stronger investor sentiment. Growth-oriented indices tend to benefit the most from low interest rates.
Hawkish Policy: This can lead to lower commodity prices, particularly for gold, as rising rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. A stronger currency also makes commodities more expensive in other currencies, dampening demand.
Dovish Policy: Often supports commodity prices, especially precious metals like gold and silver, which are seen as inflation hedges. Lower rates and a weaker currency can also boost demand for oil and industrial metals.
Hawkish Policy: Usually causes bond prices to fall and yields to rise. Investors demand higher returns in a rising rate environment, and existing bonds with lower yields become less attractive.
Dovish Policy: Supports bond prices and keeps yields low. Central bank bond purchases (quantitative easing) also increase demand, pushing prices higher and yields lower.
In Summary
Understanding the key differences between hawkish vs dovish monetary policies is vital for anyone involved in the financial markets. Hawkish policies are designed to fight inflation and stabilize currency strength, while dovish policies prioritize growth and employment support. Both have their place in economic management, and their effectiveness depends on timing and execution. By keeping an eye on central bank statements and economic indicators, investors can make more strategic decisions, aligning their trades with the prevailing monetary stance.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. What does hawkish mean in monetary policy?
Hawkish refers to a central bank’s stance that focuses on controlling inflation, often through higher interest rates and tighter financial conditions.
2. What does dovish mean in monetary policy?
Dovish describes a policy approach that prioritizes economic growth and employment, typically involving lower interest rates and accommodative measures.
3. What is the difference between hawkish and dovish?
Hawkish means focusing on controlling inflation through tighter policies like raising interest rates, while dovish means prioritizing growth and job creation with measures like lowering rates.
4. Can a central bank be both hawkish and dovish?
Yes. Central banks often balance between the two depending on economic conditions. They may shift from dovish to hawkish based on inflation trends or vice versa.
5. Can a central bank change its stance quickly?
Yes. Central banks can shift from dovish to hawkish or vice versa if economic conditions, inflation data, or geopolitical risks change significantly.
6. Why do markets react strongly to hawkish or dovish comments?
Markets are highly sensitive to changes in interest rates and monetary policy signals. A shift in tone can impact currencies, stocks, bonds, and commodities.
7. How can traders benefit from understanding dovish vs hawkish policies?
Recognizing these stances helps traders anticipate market trends, manage risk, and position their portfolios in line with central bank directions.
Oil markets are navigating competing forces this week, with traders balancing fresh OPEC+ supply signals against rising geopolitical tensions and shifting expectations for US rate cuts.
WTI crude rises ahead of OPEC+ output increase
WTI crude futures moved higher as markets evaluated the impact of an upcoming OPEC+ production increase, possible sanctions on Russian oil, and growing expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices advanced toward $67.50 per barrel on Monday, recovering after an initial sell-off triggered by fresh output plans from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+).
Demand for all primary fuels is set to increase to 2050, with the exception of coal. Demand for other renewables (mostly wind and solar) is set to see the largest increase at 40.5 mboe/d over this period. Demand for oil and gas is also expected to increase, in line with the need… pic.twitter.com/Cr07BhQGUl
The group announced a planned production increase of 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, aiming to regain market share lost over the past year.
However, this additional supply could act as a cap on prices in the near term, particularly as WTI approaches the key $70 resistance level.
A cautious market outlook suggests gains may be limited without stronger demand or further supply disruptions.
US pressure on Russian oil could trigger supply shock
The United States is stepping up diplomatic efforts to discourage India from purchasing Russian crude oil.
This strategic move coincides with President Donald Trump’s stated goal of brokering a Ukraine peace deal by 8 August.
American officials have reportedly warned their Indian counterparts of potential punitive actions, including 100% secondary sanctions targeting any entity that continues to buy Russian oil.
If enforced, these sanctions could jeopardise up to 2.75 million barrels per day of Russian exports — much of which currently flows to China and India.
Such a sharp reduction in global supply could cause prices to spike quickly as traders react to the sudden shortfall.
At the same time, a weaker-than-expected US jobs report for July has raised expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Easing monetary policy would likely stimulate economic activity and boost oil demand.
As a result, expectations of lower interest rates may create a solid price floor, providing support even in the face of increased supply from OPEC+.
Technical analysis: Crude stabilises after sharp drop
The technical picture for WTI crude oil is currently leaning bullish, following a recent sharp decline and rebound.
After falling from above $69.00 on 2 August, prices found solid support at $66.628 — a level that has since triggered a modest recovery.
Picture: WTI crude finds support near $66.63 and begins a recovery, with MACD momentum turning positive, as seen on the VT Markets app.
Crude is now trading near $67.447, showing signs of stabilisation as traders digest the latest OPEC+ supply news and broader macroeconomic factors.
The recovery suggests renewed buying interest, although momentum remains cautious.
Traders should watch for a breakout above immediate resistance at $67.733. A confirmed move higher, particularly with rising volume, could pave the way for a test of the $68.000 level.
Continued bullish divergence in the MACD indicator would further reinforce this positive short-term outlook.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
The NASDAQ 100 is a major stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange. It is heavily weighted toward technology, featuring industry leaders like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA. Known for its growth potential and innovation-driven focus, the index attracts both investors and traders looking to capitalize on market trends. In this guide, you’ll learn what the NASDAQ 100 is, which companies are included, how it compares to other indices, and how to start trading it effectively.
What Is the NASDAQ?
The NASDAQ, short for the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations, is a major global stock exchange known for its fully electronic trading system. Launched in 1971, it was the first exchange to enable automated trading, making it faster and more accessible than traditional floor-based exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Today, the NASDAQ is home to many of the world’s most innovative and growth-oriented companies. It is especially dominant in the technology sector, with listings that include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA. While the NYSE is often associated with older, more established firms, the NASDAQ has become the go-to exchange for companies in tech, biotech, e-commerce, and other forward-looking industries.
Because of its strong focus on innovation, the NASDAQ plays a central role in global markets and serves as the foundation for major indices like the NASDAQ 100.
NASDAQ Trading Hours
The Nasdaq Stock Market operates during regular trading hours from 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time, Monday through Friday. During these hours, investors can trade a wide range of securities listed on the exchange, including stocks, options, and ETFs.
For those seeking additional flexibility, the Nasdaq also offers extended trading hours:
Pre-market trading: 4:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. ET
After-hours trading: 4:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. ET
While these extended sessions allow investors to react to news and events outside of regular hours, it’s important to note that trading volumes and liquidity may be lower, which can affect pricing and execution. Whether trading during standard or extended hours, the Nasdaq Stock Market provides investors with access to some of the world’s most dynamic companies.
The NASDAQ 100 is a stock market index that tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange, ranked by market capitalization. While it excludes banks and insurance firms, it includes major players across sectors like technology, healthcare, consumer services, and industrials.
The index uses a modified market-cap weighting, which means larger companies like Apple and Microsoft have more influence on its performance. To stay current, the NASDAQ 100 is reviewed and rebalanced quarterly, ensuring it reflects the top-performing and most relevant companies on the exchange.
What Are the Companies in the NASDAQ 100?
If you’re wondering what is in the NASDAQ 100, the index is made up of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange, ranked by market capitalization. These companies span industries such as technology, consumer services, healthcare, and industrials, though the index is heavily weighted toward technology firms.
The NASDAQ 100 includes many of the most recognized and influential companies in the world. These are businesses that shape global innovation, commerce, and consumer trends. Together, the top 10 companies make up more than half of the index’s total weight, meaning their performance can significantly impact the index’s overall movement.
Below is a table showing the top 10 companies in the NASDAQ 100, along with their ticker symbols, estimated market capitalizations (as of mid-2025), and their approximate weight in the index:
Note: Market cap and index weight figures are estimates based on the most recent available data. Exact values may change as the market fluctuates or during quarterly index rebalancing.
The NASDAQ 100 index (NDX) has shown strong long-term growth, especially during periods of tech sector expansion. However, it can also be highly volatile in response to macroeconomic shifts.
Here’s how the index has performed in recent years:
2020: Gained approximately +47%, rising from around $8,800 to over $13,000 by year-end, fueled by demand for digital services during the pandemic.
2021: Added another +27%, reaching nearly $16,500 as tech and consumer stocks continued to rally.
2022: Fell about -33%, dropping to around $11,000 due to inflation concerns and rising interest rates.
2023: Rebounded strongly with a +43% gain, ending the year above $15,700, led by the surge in AI, semiconductors, and large-cap tech earnings.
Note: Price levels are approximate closing values of the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and are rounded for clarity.
This historical data highlights the index’s strong growth potential, while also reminding investors of its susceptibility to volatility, particularly due to its heavy exposure to the technology sector.
How to Trade or Invest in the NASDAQ 100
If you’re looking to gain exposure to the NASDAQ 100 index, here’s a simple step-by-step guide to get started, whether you’re an investor or an active trader.
Step 1: Understand the NASDAQ 100
Start by learning what the index represents, its sector breakdown, and how its top companies influence price movement.
Step 2: Choose Your Trading Method
Decide whether to invest through ETFs, trade CFDs for flexibility and leverage, or use futures and options if you’re more advanced.
Protect your capital by applying risk management strategies such as keeping position sizes small, using stop-losses, and avoiding over-leverage — especially in volatile conditions.
Step 8: Monitor and Manage Your Position
Track price action, review economic updates, and adjust your trade if necessary. Close the trade when your target is met or conditions change.
NASDAQ 100 vs. Other Major Indices
The NASDAQ 100 is often compared with other major U.S. indices like the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000. While all of them track large portions of the U.S. stock market, each one has a different composition and market focus.
The table below highlights the key differences between these indices, helping you understand how the NASDAQ 100 fits into the broader market landscape:
Index
Composition
Key Sector Weighting
NASDAQ 100
100 largest non-financial NASDAQ stocks
Technology-heavy
S&P 500
500 largest US companies across sectors
Broad sector representation
Dow Jones (DJIA)
30 large US companies
Industrial and legacy firms
Russell 2000
2000 small-cap US companies
Small-cap focus
The NASDAQ 100 stands out for its strong focus on high-growth and innovation-led companies, especially in technology. In contrast, the S&P 500 offers more sector diversification, while the Dow Jones reflects more mature, industrial firms, and the Russell 2000 targets smaller, emerging businesses.
In Summary
The NASDAQ 100 is a major stock index made up of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange.
It is dominated by technology and consumer-focused companies, many of which are global leaders.
The index has delivered strong returns historically, but can also be volatile.
Investors can access it through ETFs, futures, CFDs, and options.
Understanding what is in the NASDAQ 100 helps you make informed decisions, especially if you focus on innovation-driven sectors.
It is widely followed by traders and analysts as a benchmark for growth stocks and tech-sector performance.
Start Trading the NASDAQ 100 Today with VT Markets
With competitive spreads, lightning-fast execution, and a user-friendly interface, VT Markets allows you to trade one of the world’s most influential indices confidently—whether you’re aiming for short-term price movements or long-term tech-sector exposure.
The NASDAQ 100 is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange. It mainly features technology, consumer, and healthcare companies.
2. What companies are in the NASDAQ 100?
Some of the top companies include Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet. The full list is updated quarterly and reflects the largest and most traded non-financial companies on the NASDAQ.
3. How can I invest or trade in the NASDAQ 100?
You can invest via ETFs like QQQ, or trade it through futures, CFDs, and options. Platforms like VT Markets offer flexible access via CFDs with tools for both new and experienced traders.
4. Is the NASDAQ 100 only tech companies?
While the index is technology-heavy, it also includes companies from consumer services, healthcare, industrials, and communication sectors.
5. Can I trade the NASDAQ 100 with VT Markets?
Yes. VT Markets offers trading on the NASDAQ 100 through CFDs on MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 platforms, with competitive spreads and a user-friendly interface.
6. Is the NASDAQ 100 a good investment?
The NASDAQ 100 has shown strong historical performance, particularly during tech-led market cycles. However, it can be volatile, so it may suit investors who are seeking growth and can tolerate short-term fluctuations.
As August begins, markets face key events that could shift risk sentiment — from new US tariffs and central bank moves to trade shifts and supply concerns. With slowing momentum and diverging inflation trends, this week may prove pivotal for FX, equity, and energy markets.
KEY INDICATORS
Market moves: FX, equities, and commodities
Sterling fell to a 10-week low (~$1.3316) after a US–EU trade deal lifted the dollar.
Oil prices rose in early August on tightening OPEC+ supply and strong demand forecasts.
Copper hit a record high as new US tariffs (10–41%) on imports took effect on 1 August.
Gold fell as rising bond yields, and a strong dollar reduced safe-haven demand.
Global equity momentum slowed, with the MSCI ACWI stalling after four weekly declines.
HSBC warned of risks to the US equity rally, citing high yields, inflation, and valuation fatigue.
Asian equity markets closed mixed as investors awaited US trade and central bank signals.
Central banks: diverging paths and cautious shifts
Markets expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 bps on 7 August as inflation hits 3.6%.
The ECB likely ended its easing cycle, while the Fed held rates with internal dissent.
The Reserve Bank of Australia delayed further cuts but faces pressure to act in August.
South Africa’s central bank held rates, reflecting mixed signals on inflation and growth.
The Bank of Japan signalled possible tightening later in 2025 amid wage and price growth.
Global policy and trade tensions
The US imposed new tariffs on copper and other imports from 69 countries starting 1 August.
Global trade tensions intensified as reciprocal tariff measures were announced.
Australian policymakers face renewed pressure as markets forecast a 3.60% cash rate by mid-2026.
Political uncertainty and tariff risks remain key drivers of volatility across regions.
MARKET MOVERS
USD/JPY
Technical breakout: USD/JPY has cleared the 149.17–149.20 resistance zone and moved above the 55-day EMA (~145.90), reinforcing the bullish trend. A confirmed close above 151.22 (61.8% Fibonacci) would signal further upside momentum, while failure to hold above 147.50 may prompt consolidation.
Target projection (bullish): A breakout above 151.22 opens the path to 156.50–156.80, with long-term projections suggesting potential extension beyond 157.00.
Target projection (bearish): A break below 147.50 may lead to a pullback towards 145.35, with broader downside risk if key supports fail.
Opening expectation: USD/JPY is expected to open near 150.50–150.60, supported by BoJ policy tone and strong US macro data reinforcing Fed rate resilience.
Primary support zone: 149.75–149.50 (short-term pivot and channel base).
Secondary support zone: 147.50–147.80 (key corrective area and 55-day EMA).
Tertiary support zone: 145.35 (major trigger level that would invalidate the broader bullish structure).
Strategy (bullish approach): Buy on confirmed breakout above 151.22 with targets at 156.50 and 156.80+.
Strategy (bearish approach): Short on break below 147.50 with targets at 145.35 and 144.00.
Stop-loss level: Below 149.40 for bullish positions; above 151.50 for bearish setups.
Key catalysts this week: US jobs report (NFP), Fed commentary, BoJ policy remarks, and developments around global tariffs.
Market context: USD/JPY remains in a strong uptrend, but August seasonality often favours yen strength. Traders should manage risk carefully, as upcoming macro events may trigger volatility and short-term reversals.
EUR/USD
Technical breakout: EUR/USD has broken below the 1.1500 level and remains under the 50-day EMA (~1.155), confirming bearish momentum. Reclaiming the 1.1550–1.1598 zone is needed to neutralise the bias, while a sustained drop below 1.1380 would confirm further downside.
Target projection (bearish): A move towards 1.1380–1.1400 is expected near term. A break below this opens the path to 1.1266 and potentially 1.1180, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1829.
Target projection (bullish): A recovery above 1.1550 could lead to gains towards 1.1600–1.1650, with potential extension to 1.1788–1.1829 if sentiment shifts strongly.
Opening expectation: EUR/USD is likely to open around 1.1420–1.1440, continuing the bearish pressure seen in late July.
Primary support zone: 1.1380–1.1400 (key pivot level).
Secondary support zone: 1.1266 (Fibonacci retracement).
Tertiary support zone: 1.1180 (long-term structural support).
Strategy (bearish approach): Short below 1.1520 targeting 1.1380, 1.1266, and possibly 1.1180.
Range play: Trade between 1.1380 and 1.1550 by buying near support and selling near resistance, using tight stops.
Stop-loss levels: Above 1.1520 for bearish positions; below 1.1490 for bullish setups.
Key catalysts this week: US non-farm payrolls and unemployment data, Eurozone PMIs and inflation figures, trade deal developments, and ongoing macroeconomic trends impacting USD and EUR sentiment.
Market context: EUR/USD remains pressured amid broad USD strength driven by trade deals and macro data. Euro bulls face headwinds from position unwinding, but key technical levels may offer short-term trading opportunities.
XAU/USD
Technical breakout: Gold remains under pressure below the key $2,380 resistance level, failing to reclaim its short-term trendline. The technical bias stays bearish unless the price closes decisively above $2,400. A breakdown below $2,320 would confirm bearish continuation.
Target projection (bearish): A move below $2,320 exposes support at $2,300, followed by $2,275. If selling accelerates, a deeper target near $2,240 becomes likely.
Target projection (bullish): A rebound above $2,380 could retest $2,400. A breakout beyond $2,410 may pave the way towards $2,435–$2,450, requiring strong macro support such as falling yields or geopolitical tensions.
Opening expectation: Gold is expected to open around $2,340–$2,345, continuing recent range-bound behaviour under pressure from a firm dollar and rising US bond yields.
Primary support zone: $2,320 (short-term pivot).
Secondary support zone: $2,300 (prior swing low).
Tertiary support zone: $2,275–$2,240 (deeper support based on trendline extensions).
Strategy (bearish approach): Sell on a break below $2,320 with targets at $2,300, $2,275, and $2,240; stop-loss above $2,385–$2,390.
Strategy (bullish approach): Buy on a rebound above $2,380 targeting $2,400 and $2,435; stop-loss below $2,310 to manage risk.
Range play: Trade within $2,320–$2,380 by buying dips near support and selling rallies near resistance with tight stops.
Key catalysts this week: US non-farm payrolls and bond market direction will heavily influence gold via real yields. Continued dollar strength and expectations of the Fed staying on hold are bearish. Geopolitical shocks or dovish surprises from central banks could reverse sentiment quickly.
Market context: Gold remains pressured by a strong dollar and rising yields, but geopolitical risks and central bank policies may create volatility. Traders should apply disciplined risk management.
NEWS HEADLINES
Geopolitics and trade risks
IMF warns that global trade tensions and inflation remain major threats despite a slight upward revision in growth forecasts.
The US imposes new tariffs of 10% to 41% on imports from Canada, India, Switzerland, and Taiwan, effective 1 August.
US Senator Roger Wicker plans a visit to Taiwan, increasing tensions between Washington and Beijing.
Iran threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz, raising fears of global oil supply disruptions.
Currency and macroeconomic shifts
The US dollar strengthens after new trade deals with the EU and Japan reduce tariff-related uncertainty.
India faces pressure as new US tariffs highlight both its vulnerability and strategic role in global supply chains.
Emerging market currencies weaken as risk-on flows favour the stronger dollar.
The Bank of Japan signals a tightening bias as inflation nears 2.9%, prompting policy shift speculation.
Commodities and global markets
Oil prices remain range-bound as geopolitical risks are offset by OPEC+ supply increases.
Gold declines under pressure from rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar.
Global equities retreat as investors react to new US tariffs and overvalued market conditions.
HSBC warns that high yields, slowing tech momentum, and Fed credibility issues could stall the US stock rally.
Asian stocks fall across Japan, China, and Taiwan as tariff fears hit sentiment before earnings season.
The euro is steadying as markets assess recent trade developments and shifting sentiment. With momentum uncertain, traders are watching technical signals and central bank cues. This analysis explores what’s next for EUR/USD.
Euro steadies after recent pressure
The euro edged higher on Thursday, rising 0.1% to reach $1.1429. However, the common currency continues to trade below the psychologically significant $1.15 barrier.
This modest recovery in EUR/USD comes after recent downward pressure, driven by growing concerns that the current US-EU trade agreement may be skewed in favour of Washington, potentially disadvantaging the eurozone.
As US President Donald Trump's new tariff regime clicks into gear, producers around Europe are feeling the impact, some holding back shipments, others hiking sticker prices or taking a hit to margins. Some fear they won't survive at all https://t.co/R5sCj0XEQf
According to our market analysts, the recent softness in the euro may be part of a natural correction after an extended period of bullish positioning.
This implies that although short-term pressure could persist, the downside may be limited as traders revisit the broader economic fundamentals.
Technical analysis
EUR/USD opened around 1.14087 and dipped to a session low of 1.14002 in early trading on 31 July, before staging a minor recovery to touch 1.1437.
Since then, the currency pair has been moving within a narrow range between 1.1400 and 1.1440, showing no strong directional bias.
Picture: EURUSD holds above 1.1400 after bounce, but momentum lacks strength, as seen on the VT Markets app.
The moving averages (5, 10, 30) paint a mixed technical picture. While the price remains marginally above the shorter-term MAs, the flattening slopes indicate fading momentum.
The 30-period moving average has acted as dynamic resistance later in the session, effectively capping any attempts to push higher.
The MACD indicator also signals indecision, hovering near the zero line with minimal divergence.
Although the histogram has turned slightly positive, both the MACD and signal lines are flat and tightly aligned, suggesting a lack of conviction among traders and low volatility.
Support is established around the 1.1400 level, a key psychological and technical floor. Resistance lies near 1.1440 and 1.1460. A clear break above this zone could pave the way for a test of the $1.1500 level, although this would likely depend on fresh macroeconomic catalysts or shifts in US dollar sentiment.
Cautious forecast
In the short term, EUR/USD is likely to remain range-bound between 1.1400 and 1.1450, unless driven by unexpected economic data or policy surprises.
Low volatility and uncertain momentum suggest that traders are staying cautious and awaiting clearer signals.
A break below 1.1400 could open the door to 1.1350, particularly if US data beats expectations or risk sentiment weakens.
On the upside, resistance around 1.1440–1.1460 remains intact. A sustained move higher would need to overcome this zone to target the key 1.1500 level – though this would likely require softer USD data, dovish Fed signals, or stronger eurozone figures.
Looking ahead, the medium-term outlook depends on how markets interpret the US-EU trade deal and future guidance from the ECB.
As policymakers weigh inflation against weak growth, sudden shifts in expectations could trigger volatility.
For now, traders may remain on the sidelines, watching macro trends and central bank commentary for direction.
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