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Monthly Archives: May 2026

EUR/USD recovers as softer US PCE dents Dollar, while Middle East tensions lift volatility

Written on May 28, 2026 at 9:24 pm, by

EUR/USD rebounds near 1.1655 as softer US inflation and growth weigh on dollar; volatility and risks rise.

MUFG sees Middle East risk and higher oil prices boosting dollar via hawkish Fed shift

Written on May 28, 2026 at 8:58 pm, by

Middle East tensions and higher oil boost inflation fears, pushing Fed hawkishness, lifting yields, volatility, and dollar strength.

Sterling Steadies as UK Political Risk Premium Fades, EUR/GBP Upside Hinges on Central Banks

Written on May 28, 2026 at 8:54 pm, by

Sterling steadies as UK political risk premium fades; Burnham’s fiscal stance calms markets, capping EUR/GBP near 0.870.

US new home sales miss April forecast, reinforcing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts

Written on May 28, 2026 at 7:57 pm, by

April new home sales missed forecasts, signaling cooling economy; markets boost September Fed cut odds, pressuring dollar.

US New Home Sales Undershoot Forecasts, Fuelling Bets on Fed Cuts and Homebuilder Weakness

Written on May 28, 2026 at 7:54 pm, by

April new home sales missed forecasts at 622k, signaling housing cooling, dovish Fed bets, and defensive positioning.

US April new home sales rise but miss forecasts, fuelling dovish Fed tilt and housing hedge plays

Written on May 28, 2026 at 7:30 pm, by

April US new home sales rose to 622,000 but missed 0.67M forecast, boosting dovish Fed expectations.

UOB sees RBA holding cash rate at 4.35% as inflation cools, tightening bias remains

Written on May 28, 2026 at 7:27 pm, by

UOB sees RBA holding 4.35% in June; softer inflation, cooling jobs, high core keep tightening bias.

Strait of Hormuz Closure Keeps Oil Above $125, Squeezing Swiss Industry and Driving Volatility Trades

Written on May 28, 2026 at 7:24 pm, by

Strait of Hormuz closure sustains energy shock, squeezing Swiss industry; elevated volatility creates opportunities in options, pairs trades.

Williams flags data-led Fed stance as inflation, tariffs set to peak; Middle East risks linger

Written on May 28, 2026 at 6:27 pm, by

John Williams: Fed policy data-driven; inflation/tariffs peaks soon; rates steady, curve steepening trades, weaker dollar outlook.

USD/CAD hits fresh highs as US–Canada yield gap and risk aversion weigh on the loonie

Written on May 28, 2026 at 6:24 pm, by

Canadian dollar slips as USD/CAD nears highs on risk aversion, wider yield spreads, and cautious BoC.

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