Today’s Analysis

    9 September 2025
    Oil ticks higher amid cautious supply outlook

    Oil prices remain pulled between shifting OPEC+ decisions, geopolitical risks, and uneven demand growth. With politics and policy now weighing as heavily as fundamentals, traders face a market shaped by uncertainty and rapid shifts. OPEC+ output cutback fuels price gains …

    8 September 2025
    Weak US jobs raise red flags for recession

    Global markets face renewed uncertainty as weak US non-farm payrolls and rising unemployment stoke recession fears, prompting calls for Fed rate cuts while Trump finalises candidates for Fed Chair. Trade tensions intensified with new Russia sanctions, tariff exemptions on metals, …

    5 September 2025
    Yuan firms amid stock market recovery

    The Chinese yuan gained ground on Friday as improved sentiment in domestic markets, and a softer US dollar offered support. With traders balancing expectations around US jobs data and monitoring signals from Beijing, the currency remains at the centre of …

    4 September 2025
    Oil prices dip on speculation of higher OPEC+ output

    Oil markets remain caught between supply uncertainty and demand signals, leaving traders on alert for the next move. Speculation around OPEC+ production policy, upcoming US stockpile data, and shifting global consumption trends are all shaping sentiment, keeping volatility alive and …

    3 September 2025
    Dollar leads rally as US bonds push markets lower

    Political and economic risks are shaping sentiment across global markets. US tariffs and Fed scrutiny fuel uncertainty, UK gilts rally as sterling weakens, while Japan and Turkey grapple with political instability. In Argentina, authorities step in to support the FX …

    2 September 2025
    Sterling under strain as bond markets hit historic levels

    Sterling faces renewed pressure as bond market swings, fiscal uncertainty, and political shifts test investor confidence. Traders are watching to see whether the pound can steady or slide further. Pound hit by debt concerns The British pound dropped more than …

    1 September 2025
    Fed cut talk keeps markets on a tightrope

    Markets are weighing rising risks as a US court challenges Trump’s tariffs and the Fed signals a potential rate cut in September, while the ECB emphasises flexibility. Geopolitical tensions intensify with the Russia-Ukraine war, escalating Middle East conflicts, and Turkey …

    29 August 2025
    Nikkei dips as stronger yen pressures market

    Japan’s stock market has enjoyed a strong rally, but momentum is cooling as investors pause to take stock. A stronger yen and softer domestic data are tempering sentiment, yet the overall trend remains positive, with September likely to bring a …

    28 August 2025
    Euro steadies amid French political uncertainty

    The euro faces a delicate balance as French political uncertainty meets broad dollar strength. Investors are cautious, watching confidence votes and policy developments alongside key US economic data. Market direction for EUR/USD will depend on how these risks and signals …

    27 August 2025
    Dollar falls on Fed shake-up fears

    Markets are expected to remain cautious this week, with European sentiment under pressure, mixed trading in Asia, and a focus on key US data and events that could influence risk appetite and market direction. KEY INDICATORS France political strains and …

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