Daily market analysis

Week Ahead: All Eyes on BOE and SNB Rate Statements

June 20, 2023

This week, markets brace for key events, including interest rate releases from the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank. Traders are expected to monitor these crucial announcements to shape their strategies and gain insights into the financial landscape. Stay tuned for a round-up of significant market developments. 

UK Consumer Price Index (21 June 2023)

UK’s CPI fell to 8.7% year-on-year in April 2023, the lowest since March 2022, due to a sharp slowdown in electricity and gas prices. 

The next CPI data is set to be released on 21 June, with analysts expecting the index to drop further to 8.4%.

Swiss National Bank Rate Statement (22 June 2023)

The SNB raised its policy rate by 50 bps to 1.5% in its March meeting, following a similar move in December 2022. 

Some analysts expect the next rate hike will be by another 50bps to 2.0%.

Bank of England Rate Statement (22 June 2023)

The BoE raised the bank rate by 25bps to 4.5% in May 2023, marking the twelfth consecutive rate increase. 

Some analysts anticipate that the next rate hike will amount to an additional 25 bps, bringing the interest rate to 4.75%.

German, UK and US Flash Manufacturing PMI (23 June 2023)

In May 2023, Germany’s Manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 43.2 but remained at a three-year low, while the UK’s and US’s PMIs dropped to 47.1 and 48.4, respectively. 

Analysts predict Manufacturing PMIs for June 2023 as follows: Germany at 43, the UK at 46.5, and the US at 49.7.

German, UK and US Flash Services PMI (23 June 2023)

In May 2023, US Services PMI dipped to 54.9 but remained robust since April 2022, while Germany’s hit a year-high of 57.2. The UK’s reached 55.2, marking four months of growth. 

Analysts predict Services PMIs for June 2023 as follows: Germany at 57.5, the UK at 54.4, and the US at 53.

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