Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Let’s say you are a Forex trader who is interested in trading the EUR/USD currency pair. You know that the European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision tomorrow. The ECB’s interest rate decision is a major event that can have a significant impact on the value of the euro.
Using fundamental analysis, you can assess the potential impact of the ECB’s interest rate decision on the EUR/USD currency pair. If you believe that the ECB is likely to raise interest rates, you might expect the euro to appreciate in value. Conversely, if you believe that the ECB is likely to keep interest rates unchanged, you might expect the euro to depreciate in value.
By understanding the potential impact of the ECB’s interest rate decision, you can make a more informed decision about whether to buy or sell the EUR/USD currency pair. This is fundamental analysis use example.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading
Fundamental analysis is a method used by Forex traders to understand the true value of a currency pair based on economic, financial, and geopolitical factors. By understanding these factors, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell currencies and other assets.
Fundamental analysis is based on the idea that the price of a currency is ultimately determined by its underlying value. This value is influenced by a variety of factors, including:
Economic indicators
GDP growth: GDP growth is a measure of the overall size of an economy. A strong GDP growth rate is typically seen as a positive sign for a country’s currency, as it suggests that the economy is growing and becoming more prosperous.
Employment data: Employment data measures the number of people who are employed in a country. A strong employment report can be a positive sign for a country’s currency, as it suggests that the economy is creating jobs and people are spending money.
Inflation rates: Inflation is a measure of the rate at which prices are rising in a country. A high inflation rate can be a negative sign for a country’s currency, as it suggests that the value of the currency is decreasing.
Central bank policies
Interest rates: Interest rates are the rates at which banks lend money to each other. When interest rates are raised, it makes it more expensive for businesses to borrow money, which can slow down economic growth. This can lead to a depreciation in the value of the currency.
Monetary policy: Monetary policy is the set of tools that central banks use to manage the money supply and interest rates in an economy. A central bank’s monetary policy can have a significant impact on the value of a currency.
source: Los Angeles Times
Geopolitical events
Elections: Elections can have a significant impact on the value of a currency. If a new government is elected that is seen as being more favourable to business, the value of the currency may appreciate. Conversely, if a new government is elected that is seen as being less favourable to business, the value of the currency may depreciate.
Wars: Wars can have a significant impact on the value of a currency. If a war breaks out in a country, the value of the currency may depreciate as investors lose confidence in the country’s economy.
Natural disasters: Natural disasters can also have a significant impact on the value of a currency. If a natural disaster strikes a country, the value of the currency may depreciate as investors lose confidence in the country’s economy.
Market sentiment
The overall mood of traders towards a currency pair can also have a significant impact on its value. If traders are bullish on a currency pair, they are more likely to buy it, which can drive up its value. Conversely, if traders are bearish on a currency pair, they are more likely to sell it, which can drive down its value.
For example, a positive economic report, such as better-than-expected employment data, can boost investor confidence in a country’s economy, leading to increased demand for its currency.
How to Use Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis can be used to inform both short-term and long-term trading decisions. However, it is more commonly used for long-term trading, as it takes time for fundamental factors to have a significant impact on currency prices.
To use fundamental analysis, traders need to track economic data releases, central bank announcements, and other geopolitical events that could impact currency values. They can then use this information to assess the underlying value of a currency pair and make trading decisions accordingly.
For example, if a country’s GDP growth is strong, it is likely that its currency will appreciate in value. This is because a strong economy is seen as being more stable and attractive to investors. Conversely, if a country’s GDP growth is weak, its currency is likely to depreciate in value.
The Economic Calendar
One of the most important tools for fundamental analysis is the economic calendar. This is a schedule of upcoming economic events and news releases that could impact currency pairs. The economic calendar is a valuable tool for traders because it allows them to stay informed about upcoming events and make informed trading decisions.
The economic calendar typically includes information about the following:
The date and time of the event
The name of the event
The country where the event is taking place
The impact of the event on currency markets
VT Markets offers a user-friendly economic calendar that is accessible to beginners. The calendar is easy to navigate and provides clear information about upcoming economic events. It also includes an “importance” rating, which helps traders gauge the potential effect of an event on the market.
Additionally, you can use a daily market analysis by VT Markets that can be a valuable tool for fundamental analysis. The Daily market analysis provides an overview of the key economic events and geopolitical developments that could impact currency values. It also includes a technical analysis section that provides insights into the short-term trends in currency prices.
Tips for using Fundamental Analysis in Forex trading:
Start by learning about the basics of economic analysis. This includes understanding key economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical events.
Use a reliable economic calendar to stay informed about upcoming events. This will help you identify potential trading opportunities and avoid making uninformed decisions.
Combine fundamental analysis with technical analysis to make more informed trading decisions. Technical analysis can help you identify trends and patterns in currency prices, while fundamental analysis can help you understand the underlying reasons for these trends.
Don’t be afraid to experiment with different trading strategies. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to fundamental analysis, so it’s important to find a strategy that works for you. VT Markets provides a Demo account for risk-free strategy testing.
Most importantly, be patient and persistent. It takes time and effort to master fundamental analysis, but it can be a valuable tool for successful Forex trading.
Pros & Cons of Fundamental Analysis
Pros:
Fundamental analysis can help you understand the underlying factors that influence currency values.
This can help you make more informed trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis can be used to identify potential trading opportunities.
It can also help you avoid making uninformed decisions.
Cons:
Fundamental analysis can be time-consuming and complex.
It can be difficult to predict the future, even with a good understanding of fundamental factors.
Fundamental analysis is not the only factor that influences currency prices.
Other factors, such as technical analysis and market sentiment, can also play a role.
In conclusion, fundamental analysis is a valuable tool for Forex traders who want to make informed trading decisions. However, it is important to remember that fundamental analysis is not the only factor that influences currency prices. By combining fundamental analysis with other trading tools, you can make more informed and confident trading decisions.
Transport yourself back to the remarkable year of 1896, a time characterised by industrial revolution and transformative economic changes. Amid the bustling streets of New York City, the brilliant mind of Charles Dow sparked an idea that would send ripples through the financial world.
With a mere selection of 12 carefully chosen companies, he crafted what we know today as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) – a beacon of brilliance among stock indices.
Fast-forward to the present day, and these luminous indicators continue to captivate investors and economists alike. They offer a unique glimpse into a country’s economic performance, providing invaluable insights into the ever-changing global financial landscape.
If you’re interested in understanding how indices trading works, what these indices represent, and how to analyse their price movements, continue reading to explore our detailed guide.
Understanding Indices
Indices are numerical representations of the top-performing shares from a particular stock exchange. They provide a snapshot of the exchange’s major players by averaging individual stock movements, consolidating a vast amount of financial activity into a single figure.
Some of the largest indices in the world are:
Dow Jones (in the US)
Nasdaq (US)
S&P 500 (US)
DAX 40 (in Germany)
CAC (in France)
FTSE (in the UK)
Hang Seng (in Hong Kong)
Nikkei (in Japan)
ASX (in Australia)
Stock indices can be calculated using two distinct approaches: one involves considering the performance of the largest companies, known as a market capitalisation-weighted average. This method is employed for indices like the S&P 500, FTSE, and ASX, where the movements of high-value companies carry greater influence over the overall index.
While the majority of stock indices adopt this approach, there are exceptions, and some indices are calculated using a price-weighted average. The Dow Jones and Nikkei are prime examples of indices using this method, where shares with higher prices wield more significant sway.
Since indices represent the overall stock value of multiple top-performing companies or high-value stocks, they tend to be more volatile compared to individual company stocks, providing both trading opportunities and increased risk for traders.
What is index trading?
Since indices are just numbers representing the performance of a group of shares on an exchange, they cannot be directly bought or sold.
Instead, traders need to choose products that mirror their performance, such as:
Index funds
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
Futures
Options
Contracts for differences (CFDs).
These products track the underlying index’s price, allowing traders to speculate on whether the index’s price will rise or fall and take positions accordingly.
Image shows index drops amid the covid-19 outbreak U.S stock indexes drops since 31/12/2019 (as %) source: howmuch.net
Factors influencing index prices
Various factors can cause index prices to rise or fall, and understanding these factors is essential for trading indices effectively. These factors include:
General economic news: As indices summarise multiple companies’ stock performances, they serve as indicators of an economy’s health and are influenced by economic news.
Global news: Multinational corporations within local indices are affected by global events, such as pandemics, natural disasters, commodity price fluctuations, supply chain disruptions, and global economic turmoil.
Company financial results: Individual companies’ performance within an index affects the overall index, especially for highly valued companies with significant stock price movements.
Company announcements: Changes in company leadership, mergers, manufacturing updates, and other announcements have broader implications for individual stock prices and the index price.
Index composition changes: Adding or removing companies from an index can impact its overall price and requires traders to reevaluate their positions.
How to trade indices
When trading stock indices, thorough research, a good understanding of the chosen product, and proper risk management strategies are crucial. Index CFDs are among the most popular trading products. They allow traders to profit from both rising and falling index prices by predicting the price direction accurately.
Traders can approach index CFDs in two ways: going long or going short. Going long involves buying index trading products when expecting the price to rise, while going short involves selling or closing positions when expecting a price decline. Profit or loss depends on the accuracy of the prediction and the market’s overall movement.
CFD trading involves leverage, allowing traders to open positions with a small initial deposit (margin) that represents a percentage of the total asset value. While leverage provides exposure to larger markets with less capital, it also carries the risk of incurring losses greater than the initial deposit. Traders should choose suitable strategies for their portfolios when trading CFDs.
Tips on Successful Trading Indices
Do your research: Before you start trading, it is important to do your research and understand the risks involved. Read books and articles about index trading and watch educational videos. This will help you understand how the market works and how to make informed trading decisions.
Start small: Don’t start trading with a large amount of money. Start with a small amount and gradually increase your investment as you gain experience. This will help you minimise your losses if you make any mistakes.
Use a demo account: VT Markets offers a demo account that allow you to trade with virtual money. This is a great way to learn the basics of trading without risking any real money. Once you feel comfortable with the process, you can start trading with real money.
Be patient: Trading indices can be a volatile market, so it is important to be patient and not expect to get rich quick. It takes time and experience to become a successful trader.
Use stop-loss orders: Stop-loss orders are a way to limit your losses. If the price of an index falls below a certain level, your trade will be automatically sold, preventing you from losing more money than you are comfortable with.
Use take-profit orders: Take-profit orders are a way to lock in your profits. If the price of an index rises above a certain level, your trade will be automatically sold, ensuring that you don’t miss out on potential profits.
Don’t trade emotionally: It is important to stay calm and make rational decisions when trading indices. Don’t let your emotions get the best of you, or you will likely make bad trading decisions.
Starting Index Trading
To begin trading indices in live markets, follow these steps:
Select your preferred trading method: VT Markets offers indices CFDs, providing opportunities to profit from rising and falling prices.
Choose between cash indices and index futures: Cash indices have tighter spreads and offer on-the-spot trade pricing, suitable for day traders. Index futures are preferred for longer-term views with fewer overnight funding charges.
Create and log in to your trading account: Opening a live account with VT Markets is quick and easy.
Choose the index to trade: Select from popular global indicesbased on available analysis and market insights.
Decide to go long or short: Choose the direction based on the outlook for the economic sector or domestic market.
Implement risk management strategies: Utilise stop-loss and limit orders to prevent excessive losses.
Open your first position: Seize opportunities by monitoring and closing positions at the right time.
In conclusion, trading stock indices offers a window into the performance of major companies and economies worldwide. Understanding the factors influencing index prices and utilising products like index CFDs can provide traders with both opportunities and risks.
With proper research, risk management, and the support of a reliable broker like VT Markets, traders can confidently navigate the exciting world of index trading, diversify their portfolios, and hedge against market fluctuations. Happy trading!
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
This week’s economic calendar includes important events that can significantly impact the markets: the FOMC Meeting Minutes, as well as the ECB and BOJ Rate Decisions. Traders should be well-prepared for potential market volatility resulting from these announcements and be ready to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Keep an eye on the following economic releases:
German, UK and US Flash Manufacturing PMI (24 July 2023)
Germany’s Manufacturing PMI experienced a downward revision in June 2023, reaching 40.6. In contrast, the UK’s PMI was revised upward to 46.5, while the US confirmed a PMI of 46.3, marking a six-month low.
The figures for July 2023 will be released on 24 July. Analysts predict Manufacturing PMIs as follows: Germany at 40, the UK at 46, and the US at 46.
German, UK and US Flash Services PMI (24 July 2023)
US Services PMI was revised slightly higher to 54.4 in June 2023, while Germany’s was confirmed at 54.1, the lowest reading in three months. UK’s was confirmed at 53.7, the lowest in three months.
Analysts predict Services PMIs for July 2023 as follows: Germany at 53.3, the UK at 53, and the US at 54.
Australia Consumer Price Index (26 July 2023)
The annual inflation rate in Australia declined to 7% in Q1 2023, falling from an over-30-year high of 7.8% in the previous period. This marked the lowest recorded rate since Q2 2022.
Looking ahead, analysts are forecasting a slower growth rate of 6.3% for the data covering the year up to June 2023. This information is scheduled for release on 26 July.
US FOMC Meeting Minutes (26 July 2023)
The Fed decided to maintain its funds rate target at 5.25% in June 2023. Following the FOMC decision, the Fed Chair emphasised multiple times the necessity of raising rates further within the current year.
For the upcoming meeting on 26 July, analysts forecast that the Fed will raise its interest rates to 5.5%.
European Central Bank Main Refinancing Rate (27 July 2023)
In its June meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its key interest rates by 25 bps to 4%. The ECB made it clear that future decisions would rely on incoming data and underscored its commitment to adopting a meeting-by-meeting approach in light of the uncertain economic environment, particularly as interest rates were nearing a potential peak level.
For the upcoming 27 July meeting, analysts expect the central bank to implement another 25 bps increase to 4.25%.
US Advance GDP (27 July 2023)
The US economy expanded at an annualised rate of 2% on a quarter-on-quarter basis in Q1 2023. This growth was higher than the previous second estimate of 1.3%.
The figures for Q2 2023 will be released on 27 July, with analysts projecting a slower growth rate of 1.9%.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
VT 
