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Which stocks to buy before Christmas?

As the festive season approaches, savvy investors know that the Christmas period isn’t just about gift-giving – it’s also an opportunity to unwrap some potentially lucrative investment strategies. The stock market comes alive with unique seasonal trends that can present smart investors with exciting opportunities to grow their portfolios.

The holiday season is more than just a time of celebration; it’s a critical period for investors who understand the market’s rhythms. In 2023, holiday spending reached a record USD 964 billion, marking a 3.8% increase from the previous year. This remarkable figure isn’t just a sign of consumer enthusiasm – it’s a beacon for investors looking to capitalise on seasonal market dynamics.

Understanding the holiday market landscape

Known as the ‘Santa Claus rally’, the period from late November to early January represents a fascinating economic phenomenon where stock prices often rise in the final week of December. This historical trend creates a unique investment landscape that savvy investors carefully navigate.

The current market context is particularly intriguing. The S&P 500 has made significant gains, with Donald Trump’s election victory contributing to a positive investment climate. Investors are advised to focus on high-quality stocks with strong growth prospects.

Consumer spending reveals a complex economic picture. Approximately one-third of consumers plan to spend more this holiday season, while 37% intend to maintain previous levels, and only 22% are looking to cut back.

The most prominent trend is the explosive growth of e-commerce, driven by digital platforms and blockbuster sales events like Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

The holiday season triggers a remarkable economic transformation across multiple sectors, with shoppers splurging on gifts, holiday décor, and travel experiences. Higher-income consumers show more willingness to spend, while lower-income individuals remain price-sensitive.

A significant travel surge accompanies the festive season, with families eager to reunite and create memories. Entertainment and leisure sectors experience substantial growth, with streaming platforms, gaming companies, and home entertainment providers seeing heightened demand. This trend reflects a broader consumer desire for connection and enjoyment during the holiday period.

Understanding these multifaceted holiday market trends provides a crucial advantage in making informed investment decisions. The interplay of consumer sentiment, technological innovation, and seasonal spending creates a complex but potentially rewarding investment environment.

Top performing sectors this holiday season

The holiday period brings unique opportunities across several key sectors:

1. Retail and e-commerce

Online shopping continues to dominate, with e-commerce sales forecast to grow 6.9% this season. Brick-and-mortar sales are expected to grow more modestly at 2.4%. This represents the slowest growth rate since 2018, highlighting the ongoing shift towards digital shopping.

2. Technology

The tech sector remains a powerhouse, with significant investments in innovative solutions. Companies like Meta Platforms have seen a 74% stock rally in 2024, with substantial investments in AI infrastructure totalling USD 38-40 billion.

3. Travel and leisure

After years of pandemic-related restrictions, holiday travel is bouncing back. Airlines and travel services are experiencing increased bookings as families reunite and plan festive getaways. International tourist arrivals are projected to reach 96% of pre-pandemic levels in 2024, further boosting the travel industry during this festive season.

4. Entertainment

Streaming platforms and gaming companies see a significant holiday boost as families spend more time indoors. With global video game revenue expected to hit USD 211 billion and streaming subscriptions projected to grow by 10% in 2024, demand for digital entertainment continues to rise.

Recommended stocks across sectors

Let’s explore some standout stocks that could potentially shine this holiday season:

Nvidia (NVDA)

A semiconductor leader with extraordinary potential. The company has shown an impressive 236% average earnings growth in recent quarters, with expected EPS growth of 127% in 2025. The AI chip market presents massive growth potential, projected at 40-55% expansion.

Meta Platforms (META)

The social media giant has demonstrated remarkable resilience with a 59% average earnings growth and significant AI infrastructure investments. Its 98/99 Composite Rating suggests strong market performance.

Amazon (AMZN)

The e-commerce giant continues to dominate online shopping. With a strong logistics network and recent AI investments for product recommendations, Amazon remains a robust long-term investment option.

Delta Airlines (DAL)

With holiday travel surging, Delta is well-positioned to benefit. Analysts project a 17.90% upside, with a price target of USD 76.08, as increased travel demand and higher ticket prices drive revenue growth in 2024.

Hasbro (HAS)

An interesting pick with a 4-star rating, 25% discount, and 4.5% dividend yield. The company is focusing on digital games with higher margins and expecting earnings growth of over 20%.

Smart investment strategies for the holiday season

When investing, it’s crucial to focus on the fundamentals and long-term growth potential. Here are some key considerations for traders:

  • Look for stocks with 25%+ earnings growth: Stocks with strong earnings growth are likely to outperform the market, indicating healthy financial performance and potential for future growth.
  • Focus on companies with innovative products: Companies that introduce new, disruptive products are better positioned to thrive in competitive markets and offer long-term growth opportunities.
  • Consider not-yet-profitable companies with strong revenue growth: Even if a company isn’t profitable yet, consistent revenue growth may signal future profitability and long-term success.
  • Pay attention to relative strength and institutional support: Stocks with strong relative strength tend to outperform their peers, and institutional backing can signal confidence in the company’s prospects.

Conclusion

The Christmas season offers a unique window of opportunity for investors. With inflation expected to moderate in 2025 and potential interest rate cuts on the horizon, strategic investment is more important than ever. The best gift you can give yourself this holiday season might just be a well-considered investment strategy.

Approach your investments with research, caution, and a long-term perspective. Keep in mind that market performance varies yearly, and external factors can significantly impact holiday market trends. Start your journey today by opening a live account with VT Markets and take the first step toward maximising these investment opportunities.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 12,2024

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 11,2024

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Taming Fear, Greed, and Hope in Volatile Markets

Investing is as much about psychology as it is about numbers.

While charts and data may guide strategies, emotions often take the wheel in moments of uncertainty. Emotional investing is one of the greatest risks to your portfolio. Fear, greed, and hope—three forces familiar to every investor—have the power to cloud judgment and drive costly decisions.

Let’s explore how these emotions come into play and how you can manage them to navigate turbulent markets confidently.

FearThe Great Instigator of Panic Selling

Fear is a primal response. Fear triggers the fight or flight instinct, and in markets, it often manifests as a flight reaction.

When assets lose value, the instinct to cut losses and run kicks in. During the COVID-19 crash in March 2020, global equity markets plummeted, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average shedding 37% in just weeks. That’s about 3,000 points.

Many traders sold their positions, crystallising losses, only to see markets rebound sharply over the following months.

The Reality

Fear isn’t the enemy—it’s a signal. It forces you to re-evaluate your exposure and risk. But acting on fear without strategy can lead to regret.

A long-term view and a focus on fundamentals can help you ride out turbulence. Avoid the trap of short-term thinking by revisiting your financial goals.

GreedThe Fuel for Chasing Trends

Greed is the flipside of fear, and it’s just as dangerous. It’s the voice that whispers, “Don’t miss out.” The cryptocurrency frenzy of 2021 saw Bitcoin soar past $60,000, driven by exuberance and speculation.

Traders who chased these highs often found themselves exposed to devastating losses when the market corrected in 2022.

The Reality

Greed is a double-edged sword. While ambition can propel gains, unchecked greed blinds you to risk. Balance is key.

Diversification and pre-set exit strategies keep your decisions grounded, ensuring you’re capitalising on opportunities without exposing yourself to undue risk.

HopeThe Comfort of Holding On

Hope is a quiet but persistent force. It keeps traders anchored to losing positions, believing a turnaround is just around the corner.

Take the case of meme stocks like GameStop in early 2021. Many traders held on well past the initial surge, hoping for another peak, only to see their gains evaporate.

The Reality

Hope is necessary, but it needs structure. Set boundaries with stop-loss orders and regularly reassess your holdings against market conditions. If hope is your only reason for holding, it’s time to re-evaluate.


Practical Steps for Mastering Emotional Discipline

  1. Have a Game Plan (and Stick to It)
    • Start with a clear investment strategy tailored to your goals and risk tolerance. This will act as your anchor during moments of volatility.
  2. Learn to Pause
    • When markets are turbulent, take a breath before reacting. A deliberate pause allows you to make decisions based on strategy, not emotion.
  3. Automate for Consistency
    • Use tools like automated investing or regular rebalancing to maintain objectivity. Automation ensures decisions are driven by logic, not impulse.
  4. Educate Yourself Continuously
    • The more you understand market trends and behavioural finance, the better equipped you’ll be to spot emotional triggers and navigate them.
  5. Lean on Expertise
    • Surround yourself with trusted sources, whether that’s a financial adviser, seasoned traders, or reputable platforms. Objective perspectives can help counterbalance your emotional biases.

Market swings are inevitable, but emotional swings don’t have to be. By recognising how fear, greed, and hope influence your decisions, you can transform these forces into tools rather than obstacles.

Approach investing with clarity, discipline, and a calm perspective, and you’ll find that even in the stormiest markets, you can stay the course.

Notification of Trading Adjustment in Holiday – Dec 11,2024

Dear Client,

Affected by international holidays, the trading hours of some VT Markets products will be adjusted.

Please check the following link for the affected products:

Notification of Trading Adjustment in Holiday

Note: The dash sign (-) indicates normal trading hours.

Friendly Reminder:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 10,2024

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 09,2024

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 06,2024

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

Which AI stocks to watch in December 2024

The world of investment is experiencing a seismic shift, with artificial intelligence (AI) emerging as the driving force that is radically transforming traditional stock market paradigms. As 2024 draws to a close, the S&P 500 has reached a remarkable milestone, climbing to a record high of 6,001.35 with a year-to-date gain of 25.8%.

Amidst global economic challenges including high inflation, supply chain constraints, and geopolitical tensions, AI stands out as a beacon of innovation and potential growth, offering investors a promising avenue for strategic investment.

The AI investment landscape

The investment world is experiencing a critical transition from AI speculation to substantive results. According to recent market research, global AI investment has surged to an estimated 200 billion USD in 2024, with venture capital firms and tech giants pouring unprecedented resources into the sector.

Investors are no longer satisfied with mere promises; they demand tangible evidence of AI’s value creation. Financial experts are calling this the “show me” moment for technology companies, where the focus has shifted from potential to actual revenue generation and strategic implementation.

A comprehensive analysis by McKinsey reveals that AI could potentially contribute up to 4.4 trillion USD annually to the global economy. This staggering figure underscores why investors are increasingly bullish about AI-related investments. The sector has seen a remarkable 67% increase in funding compared to the previous year, with semiconductor and cloud computing companies leading the charge.

This scrutiny comes at a time when technology giants are investing heavily in AI infrastructure. Cloud computing behemoths like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are pouring billions into data centre expansions, AI chips, and research and development.

Industry estimates suggest that these companies have collectively invested over 50 billion USD in AI infrastructure in 2024 alone. The key question remains: how much incremental AI-related revenue are these investments generating?

Meta platforms: Social media’s AI transformation

Meta Platforms represents a compelling case study in AI-driven transformation. With a market capitalisation of 1.5 trillion USD, the company has leveraged artificial intelligence to revolutionise its core business model. Its AI-powered recommendation systems have demonstrably increased user engagement, with Facebook seeing an 8% rise and Instagram a 6% increase in user interaction.

More impressively, over one million advertisers now utilise Meta’s generative AI tools, boosting ad conversions by 7%. The company’s strategic hire of Clara Shih from Salesforce to head a new “Business AI” group underscores its commitment to AI innovation. The company’s AI assistant has already reached 500 million monthly active users, positioning itself as a potential global leader in conversational AI.

The open-source Llama AI model has seen extraordinary growth, with downloads reaching 350 million by August 2024 – a tenfold increase from the previous year. Meta is actively working on Llama 4 models, training them on massive GPU clusters, signalling a long-term commitment to AI development.

Financially, Meta presents a robust investment opportunity, with double-digit revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet boasting 70.9 billion USD in cash against 28.8 billion USD in debt. The stock has gained an impressive 62% in 2024, making it an attractive option for investors.

Microsoft: Powering enterprise AI

Microsoft continues to be a powerhouse in the AI ecosystem, its 13-billion-USD partnership with OpenAI proving transformational. The technology giant’s AI business is projected to cross 10 billion USD in annual revenue, making it the fastest-growing segment in the company’s history.

Azure cloud services have grown by 33% year-on-year, with AI services contributing significantly to this expansion. However, the company faces challenges with data centre capacity constraints, which have tempered growth expectations.

The company’s Microsoft 365 Copilot has gained substantial traction, with nearly 70% of Fortune 500 companies now utilising the service.

Despite some concerns about Azure’s revenue growth, Microsoft’s comprehensive approach to AI – spanning hardware, software, models, and frameworks – presents a compelling investment narrative. The stock has gained 12% in 2024, reflecting both challenges and opportunities in the rapidly evolving AI market.

Micron Technology: The memory backbone of AI

Micron Technology offers a different perspective on AI investment, focusing on the critical infrastructure that powers artificial intelligence. As a key provider of high-performance memory for data centres, Micron is strategically positioned in the AI ecosystem.

The high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market is expected to explode from 4 billion USD in 2023 to 25 billion USD by 2025, with Micron targeting a 20-25% market share. The company’s technological advancements, including transitions to advanced DRAM and NAND technologies, make it an intriguing option for investors.

Notably, Micron’s HBM chips are already sold out until 2025, providing exceptional revenue visibility and predictability. This demand underscores the critical role of memory technology in AI infrastructure.

Future outlook and investment considerations

The AI landscape continues to evolve rapidly. Software companies are increasingly pivoting towards AI agents, while semiconductor firms continue to outperform in AI-related investments. The market is witnessing a shift from AI model training to AI application inference, opening new avenues for technological innovation.

Ready to capitalise on cutting-edge investment opportunities? Open a live trading account with VT Markets today and position yourself at the forefront of emerging technological investments. With our advanced trading platforms and expert market insights, you can seamlessly translate these AI market trends into potential trading strategies.

Investors should remain cautious yet optimistic. The AI market is not without challenges, including regulatory scrutiny, potential capacity constraints, and the ongoing question of monetisation. The potential appointment of an “AI czar” under the new administration could further reshape the regulatory landscape.

As we approach 2025, the AI stock market presents a landscape of unprecedented opportunity. Meta, Microsoft, and Micron demonstrate how companies are not just adopting AI but fundamentally reimagining their business models. For investors willing to conduct thorough research and maintain a strategic approach, the AI sector offers exciting prospects for growth and innovation.

While past performance does not guarantee future results, these companies showcase the potential of strategic AI implementation. Diversification, careful analysis, and a long-term perspective remain key to navigating this dynamic investment landscape.

Notification of Product Optimisation – Dec 05,2024

Dear Client,

As part of our commitment to providing the most reliable service to our clients, we will be optimising specific product configurations this weekend.

Optimised Products:
SOLJPY, ADAJPY, BCHJPY, XLMJPY, XRPJPY, BTCJPY, BTCEUR, LTCJPY, ETHJPY, GRTUSD, IOTUSD, ZECUSD, NEOUSD, BTCBCH, ETHBCH, BTCETH, BTCLTC, ETHEUR, ETHLTC

Optimisation Hours:
07th of December 2024 (Saturday) 00:00–03:00 (GMT+2)

Please note that the following aspects might be affected during the optimisation:

1. The price quote and trading management for the optimised products will be temporarily disabled during the optimisation period.You will not be able to open new positions, close open positions, or make any adjustments to trades.

2. There might be a gap between the original price and the price after optimisation.Gaps between Pending Orders, Stop Loss, and Take Profit will be filled at the market price once the maintenance is completed. It is suggested that you manage the account properly.

Please refer to the MT4 & MT5 software for specific optimisation completion and market opening times.

Thank you for your patience and understanding regarding this important initiative.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.

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