{"id":16732,"date":"2024-05-07T13:18:23","date_gmt":"2024-05-07T13:18:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.vtmarkets.net\/?p=10088"},"modified":"2025-02-15T10:38:47","modified_gmt":"2025-02-15T10:38:47","slug":"global-economy-in-2024-a-traders-guide-to-growth-inflation-and-geopolitics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/fr\/opinion\/global-economy-in-2024-a-traders-guide-to-growth-inflation-and-geopolitics\/","title":{"rendered":"Global economy in 2024: A trader’s guide to growth, inflation, and geopolitics"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The global economy is a complex and ever-changing landscape. For traders, understanding the key trends shaping this landscape is crucial for making informed decisions and navigating market volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move through 2024, several significant trends are influencing economic growth, inflation, and regional performance. By staying informed and adapting your strategies accordingly, you can position yourself for success in this dynamic environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Understanding the playing field: Growth, inflation, and regional disparity<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

While the global economy continues to recover from the pandemic, the pace has slowed in 2024. This shift necessitates a closer examination of the underlying factors influencing growth. Understanding these dynamics, such as inflation and regional disparities, becomes crucial for traders navigating the evolving economic landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Modest global growth<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Gross domestic product (GDP), the total value of goods and services produced in an economy, is a key indicator of economic growth. Forecasts from organisations like the OECD<\/a> (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) suggest global GDP growth in 2024 will be around 3.2%, indicating a continuation of the post-pandemic recovery, albeit at a slower pace compared to pre-crisis trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Inflation, the rate of price increases, has been a major concern in recent years. While some relief is expected, with global inflation projected to decline steadily, reaching around 4.5% by 2025, this doesn’t mean traders can breathe a sigh of relief just yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecasts suggest inflation might still be around 5.8% in 2024. This is why central banks like the US Federal Reserve are likely to continue raising interest rates to curb inflation. These actions can impact borrowing costs and economic activity, so monitoring central bank announcements and economic data releases is crucial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Geopolitical tensions<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n

The global economic landscape is not only shaped by internal factors but also by external forces like geopolitical tensions. Escalating geopolitical tensions, like the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, can have far-reaching consequences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Such conflicts can disrupt supply chains, causing shortages of key resources like oil and wheat, leading to price fluctuations in sectors like energy and commodities. Additionally, these tensions can trigger market volatility, impacting investor confidence and potentially leading to significant price swings in various asset classes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sectors potentially affected:<\/p>\n\n\n\n