/week_ahead/week-ahead-uk-eu-economic-data-in-horizon/
As we approach another significant week in the financial markets, several pivotal events are lined up that could influence market dynamics extensively. Here’s what traders at VT Markets should focus on:
US GDP for Q1: Due for release on Thursday, the preliminary estimate of US GDP for Q1 2023 is anticipated at 2.9%, following a previous quarter’s growth of 3.4%. This release will be pivotal in assessing the durability of the US economic expansion. Historically, a robust Q1 GDP figure has buoyed market sentiments but it’s crucial to remain cautious, as higher-than-expected growth could stoke fears of continued Fed tightening.
Core PCE Index for March: Set for Friday, this inflation measure will be scrutinised for any signs of persistent inflation pressures. Any deviation from expected levels could prompt a reevaluation of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory, potentially leading to market volatility.
Preliminary S&P Global PMIs for April: These early indicators of Q2 economic activity will provide insights into the ongoing recovery. Markets will likely react to the strength of these PMIs, with stronger figures possibly signaling a sustained recovery and weaker ones may incite concerns over economic momentum.
Rate Decision: This Friday’s decision comes at a critical time with recent policy shifts signaling a potential end to negative interest rates. Markets are keenly awaiting indications of possible rate hikes, especially given rising inflation in Japan. A hawkish stance could strengthen the yen, whereas a dovish one might exacerbate its current weakness.
Currency Intervention Watch: With the yen nearing 155.00 against the dollar, speculation about intervention from Japanese authorities to stabilise the currency is high. A significant intervention could disrupt market trends, particularly in currency pairs involving the yen.
EU and UK PMIs: With these set to release on Tuesday, they are crucial for assessing the economic climate in both regions. The focus will be on how these figures might influence the European Central Bank and Bank of England’s monetary policy, especially with inflation concerns at the forefront.
BoE Rate Expectations: Markets have already priced in a 25bps rate hike by the BoE in September. This expectation could solidify further if upcoming economic indicators reinforce a robust economic outlook.
Australian CPIs: Wednesday’s CPI data will be key in assessing inflation trends and shaping the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decisions for the year. Given the mixed signals from previous data, this release will be crucial in determining the short-term monetary policy path.
Tech Reporting: With Alphabet and Tesla on Tuesday, followed by Meta on Wednesday, and both Microsoft and Amazon on Thursday, these reports are critical. The tech sector’s performance has been under the microscope after recent market corrections, and these earnings results could heavily influence market sentiment, either bolstering confidence with strong earnings or fueling concerns if results falter.
Start trading now — click here to create your live VT Markets account.
Mercados
Educación
Compañía
Preguntas más frecuentes
Promoción
Risk Warning: Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage in CFD trading can magnify gains and losses, potentially exceeding your original capital. It’s crucial to fully understand and acknowledge the associated risks before trading CFDs. Consider your financial situation, investment goals, and risk tolerance before making trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Refer to our legal documents for a comprehensive understanding of CFD trading risks.
The information on this website is general and doesn’t account for your individual goals, financial situation, or needs. VT Markets cannot be held liable for the relevance, accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any website information.
Our services and information on this website are not provided to residents of certain countries, including the United States, Singapore, Russia, and jurisdictions listed on the FATF and global sanctions lists. They are not intended for distribution or use in any location where such distribution or use would contravene local law or regulation.
VT Markets is a brand name with multiple entities authorised and registered in various jurisdictions.
· VT Global Pty Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) under licence number 516246.
· VT Global is not an issuer or market maker of derivatives and is only allowed to provide services to wholesale clients.
· VT Markets (Pty) Ltd is an authorised Financial Service Provider (FSP) registered and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of South Africa under license number 50865.
· VT Markets Limited is an investment dealer authorised and regulated by the Mauritius Financial Services Commission (FSC) under license number GB23202269.
· VTMarkets Ltd, registered in the Republic of Cyprus with registration number HE436466 and registered address at Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus.
Copyright © 2024 VT Markets.