VT 
ES
Back
Dear Client,
Starting from October 27, 2024, the trading hours of some MT4/MT5 products will change due to the upcoming Daylight Saving Time change in the EU/UK.
Please refer to the table below outlining the affected instruments:
The above information is provided for reference only; please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Por: Eduardo Ramos
En este momento, los mercados de divisas parecen estar posicionándose para una posible victoria de Donald Trump en las elecciones presidenciales de EE. UU. del próximo mes. A lo largo de octubre, Trump ha mostrado una mejoría en las encuestas de opinión, y eso ha hecho que el dólar se fortalezca en comparación con otras monedas. Es como si los inversionistas ya estuvieran apostando por su victoria y eso se reflejara en el valor del dólar.
La semana pasada, vimos cómo los especuladores y los gestores de activos compraron fuertemente el dólar, no solo frente al euro, sino también contra el dólar canadiense. Esto muestra un interés creciente en el dólar estadounidense, anticipando lo que podría suceder en las elecciones. Pero para entender mejor este comportamiento, es útil comparar con lo que sucedió en elecciones pasadas.
Comparación con Elecciones Anteriores
Para entender la situación actual, podemos remontarnos a las elecciones de 2016 y observar cómo los mercados reaccionaron en ese entonces. En los meses previos a la victoria de Trump, el dólar también experimentó un fortalecimiento considerable. Los inversionistas veían su enfoque político como favorable para ciertos sectores de la economía estadounidense, y eso se reflejaba en un aumento en la demanda del dólar.
Sin embargo, si miramos las elecciones de 2012, cuando Barack Obama fue reelegido, el dólar no mostró un fortalecimiento similar. Esto se debió en parte a que el enfoque de Obama era más predecible y estable para los mercados, lo que no generaba tanta especulación o incertidumbre como la que se experimenta con Trump.
Factores Geopolíticos en Juego
En la actualidad, además de las elecciones en EE. UU., los mercados de divisas están lidiando con otros factores geopolíticos. Tenemos tensiones en Medio Oriente, una cumbre del grupo BRICS organizada por Rusia, y las reuniones del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) en Washington, donde muchos banqueros centrales estarán compartiendo sus puntos de vista sobre la economía mundial.
El precio del oro ha superado los $2,700 por onza, lo cual es significativo. Tradicionalmente, el oro se considera un refugio seguro en tiempos de incertidumbre. Si bien es inusual ver el oro subiendo al mismo tiempo que el dólar se fortalece, este comportamiento refleja la preocupación general por la estabilidad económica global. Es como si los inversionistas estuvieran buscando protegerse “por si acaso”.
La Influencia de la Reserva Federal (Fed)
Un factor clave que está por entrar en juego es el informe del “Libro Beige” de la Reserva Federal, que se publicará esta semana. Este informe ofrece una visión de la salud económica de EE. UU. y suele ser un indicador de las próximas decisiones sobre las tasas de interés. En septiembre, una evaluación menos favorable del informe llevó a la Fed a recortar las tasas de interés en 50 puntos básicos. Si el informe de esta semana muestra debilidad económica, podríamos ver una nueva presión para reducir las tasas de interés, lo que podría afectar el valor del dólar.
En comparación, durante la crisis financiera de 2008, la Fed también utilizó recortes agresivos de las tasas para estimular la economía. Sin embargo, el entorno actual es diferente, ya que el mercado laboral y el consumo en EE. UU. han mostrado resiliencia, lo que podría hacer que la Fed sea más cautelosa antes de tomar una decisión similar.
¿Qué Podemos Esperar en las Próximas Semanas?
Con la incertidumbre de las elecciones y los eventos geopolíticos en curso, es poco probable que veamos cambios drásticos en el comportamiento del mercado en las próximas semanas. A menos que el informe del Libro Beige de la Fed sea sorprendentemente negativo o que los datos económicos europeos sean notablemente positivos, el dólar probablemente se mantendrá fuerte.
Este escenario refleja lo que vimos en la época previa a las elecciones de 2020, cuando la incertidumbre y la volatilidad llevaron al dólar a fluctuaciones significativas. Sin embargo, a diferencia de entonces, ahora el oro está mostrando un comportamiento más impredecible, subiendo incluso cuando el dólar también lo hace.
Conclusión
La combinación de factores electorales, geopolíticos y económicos crea un entorno volátil e incierto para los mercados financieros. A medida que nos acercamos a las elecciones en EE. UU., los inversionistas están ajustando sus posiciones en el mercado de divisas para prepararse para diferentes escenarios. Aunque hemos visto movimientos similares en el pasado, como en 2016 o incluso en 2008, cada ciclo electoral trae sus propios desafíos.
Para los que no están tan familiarizados con el mercado financiero, el mensaje clave es que la incertidumbre en torno a eventos importantes, como las elecciones presidenciales, puede tener un impacto significativo en el valor de las monedas y los activos. Es un recordatorio de que el mundo financiero es sensible no solo a las políticas económicas, sino también a los factores políticos y sociales que afectan a la economía global.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
The global economy is interconnected, and understanding the financial challenges faced by the world’s poorest nations is crucial for traders looking to navigate today’s markets.
The World Bank’s 2024 report highlights the 26 poorest countries, outlining the severe economic hardships they face and how these struggles impact global trading. From high debt levels to natural disasters and conflicts, these nations are vulnerable to multiple risks that shape global market trends.
This article delves into these countries’ economic challenges, their global significance, and why they matter to traders.
The 26 poorest countries, as identified by the World Bank, are classified as low-income economies with a gross national income (GNI) per capita of USD 1,135 or less. These nations are home to some of the world’s most vulnerable populations and face severe financial difficulties. They rely heavily on International Development Association (IDA) funding, a critical financial lifeline that helps sustain their economies.
These countries, many of which are located in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, face persistent poverty, political instability, and are largely dependent on commodities exports such as agriculture, metals, and oil. Their reliance on commodities makes them highly susceptible to global market fluctuations, and the lack of economic diversification only amplifies the effects of price volatility.
Furthermore, these countries are more affected by economic shocks than the rest of the world, especially as they struggle to recover from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. While most countries have resumed growth, these low-income nations have continued to fall behind, further deepening the gap between them and wealthier economies.
The economic challenges faced by these countries are multifaceted and deeply entrenched. Three major issues dominate their economic landscape: debt, natural disasters, and political instability.
1. Debt: The average debt-to-GDP ratio for these countries stands at 72%, the highest level in 18 years. Many of these nations are either in debt distress or at high risk of it. Their dependence on IDA grants and low-interest loans has become critical, as market financing options have largely dried up. This level of indebtedness constrains their ability to invest in infrastructure and development, limiting economic growth and perpetuating cycles of poverty.
2. Natural disasters: Natural disasters pose a significant threat to these economies, causing annual GDP losses of approximately 2%, which is five times higher than the average in lower-middle-income countries. These countries are particularly vulnerable to climate change, and their limited financial capacity hampers efforts to build disaster resilience. This repeated damage to infrastructure and agriculture places additional strain on their already struggling economies.
3. Conflict and fragility: Two-thirds of the 26 poorest countries are either in active conflict or face institutional fragility, which discourages foreign investment and economic development. The inability to maintain order and stability means that many potential investors are deterred by the risks associated with political instability and armed conflict. This fragility also stifles efforts to improve governance, further limiting their chances for sustainable growth.
The International Development Association, a branch of the World Bank, provides grants and low-interest loans to support low-income countries.
Over the past five years, the IDA has focused on the 26 poorest nations, raising a record USD 93 billion in 2021 and aiming for USD 100 billion by 2024.
This aid helps stabilise economies facing challenges such as debt, political instability, and natural disasters. However, it also highlights the need for long-term solutions to reduce their reliance on international aid.
For traders, understanding the economic struggles of these nations is not just about global awareness—it’s essential for risk management. The interconnectedness of the global economy means that the challenges faced by these countries can have ripple effects in global commodity markets.
Many of the 26 poorest countries are key exporters of commodities such as oil, metals, and agricultural products. When political instability, debt crises, or natural disasters disrupt production, it can lead to price fluctuations in the global markets. For example, a conflict in a major oil-producing low-income country can tighten global oil supplies, causing prices to spike. Similarly, droughts or floods in agricultural nations can lead to significant disruptions in the supply of key commodities, affecting global prices and trade volumes.
Traders, especially those involved in commodity trading, need to stay informed about the political and economic developments in these countries to manage their portfolios effectively. By doing so, they can anticipate market movements and make more informed decisions when trading affected commodities.
The World Bank report provides several recommendations for helping these nations overcome their economic challenges. While external support, such as IDA funding, remains critical, these countries must also implement internal reforms to improve their economic prospects.
1. Tax reforms: Simplifying taxpayer registration and improving tax administration are essential steps for these nations to increase revenue. This would create additional fiscal space for governments to invest in infrastructure, education, and healthcare, all of which are critical for long-term economic development.
2. Public spending efficiency: Improving the efficiency of public spending is another crucial reform. By allocating resources more effectively, these countries can make better use of their limited funds, particularly in areas such as disaster resilience, infrastructure, and social services.
3. Economic diversification: Reducing reliance on commodity exports is necessary for building more resilient economies. By investing in other sectors such as manufacturing, services, and technology, these countries can create new avenues for growth and reduce their exposure to global commodity price volatility.
The economic struggles of the world’s poorest countries are not isolated issues—they are deeply connected to the global economy and have significant implications for traders. For those looking to manage risk in commodity markets, staying informed about the economic health of these countries is essential.
Ready to explore new trading opportunities and stay ahead of global market trends? Open a live account with VT Markets today and access expert insights, cutting-edge tools, and a world of trading opportunities that allow you to make informed decisions in a complex global economy.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
