Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
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Written on December 11, 2024 at 7:36 am, by anakin
Investing is as much about psychology as it is about numbers.
While charts and data may guide strategies, emotions often take the wheel in moments of uncertainty. Emotional investing is one of the greatest risks to your portfolio. Fear, greed, and hope—three forces familiar to every investor—have the power to cloud judgment and drive costly decisions.
Let’s explore how these emotions come into play and how you can manage them to navigate turbulent markets confidently.
Fear—The Great Instigator of Panic Selling
Fear is a primal response. Fear triggers the fight or flight instinct, and in markets, it often manifests as a flight reaction.
When assets lose value, the instinct to cut losses and run kicks in. During the COVID-19 crash in March 2020, global equity markets plummeted, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average shedding 37% in just weeks. That’s about 3,000 points.
Many traders sold their positions, crystallising losses, only to see markets rebound sharply over the following months.
The Reality
Fear isn’t the enemy—it’s a signal. It forces you to re-evaluate your exposure and risk. But acting on fear without strategy can lead to regret.
A long-term view and a focus on fundamentals can help you ride out turbulence. Avoid the trap of short-term thinking by revisiting your financial goals.
Greed—The Fuel for Chasing Trends
Greed is the flipside of fear, and it’s just as dangerous. It’s the voice that whispers, “Don’t miss out.” The cryptocurrency frenzy of 2021 saw Bitcoin soar past $60,000, driven by exuberance and speculation.
Traders who chased these highs often found themselves exposed to devastating losses when the market corrected in 2022.
The Reality
Greed is a double-edged sword. While ambition can propel gains, unchecked greed blinds you to risk. Balance is key.
Diversification and pre-set exit strategies keep your decisions grounded, ensuring you’re capitalising on opportunities without exposing yourself to undue risk.
Hope—The Comfort of Holding On
Hope is a quiet but persistent force. It keeps traders anchored to losing positions, believing a turnaround is just around the corner.
Take the case of meme stocks like GameStop in early 2021. Many traders held on well past the initial surge, hoping for another peak, only to see their gains evaporate.
The Reality
Hope is necessary, but it needs structure. Set boundaries with stop-loss orders and regularly reassess your holdings against market conditions. If hope is your only reason for holding, it’s time to re-evaluate.
Practical Steps for Mastering Emotional Discipline
Have a Game Plan (and Stick to It)
Start with a clear investment strategy tailored to your goals and risk tolerance. This will act as your anchor during moments of volatility.
Learn to Pause
When markets are turbulent, take a breath before reacting. A deliberate pause allows you to make decisions based on strategy, not emotion.
Automate for Consistency
Use tools like automated investing or regular rebalancing to maintain objectivity. Automation ensures decisions are driven by logic, not impulse.
Educate Yourself Continuously
The more you understand market trends and behavioural finance, the better equipped you’ll be to spot emotional triggers and navigate them.
Lean on Expertise
Surround yourself with trusted sources, whether that’s a financial adviser, seasoned traders, or reputable platforms. Objective perspectives can help counterbalance your emotional biases.
Market swings are inevitable, but emotional swings don’t have to be. By recognising how fear, greed, and hope influence your decisions, you can transform these forces into tools rather than obstacles.
Approach investing with clarity, discipline, and a calm perspective, and you’ll find that even in the stormiest markets, you can stay the course.
Written on December 11, 2024 at 2:53 am, by anakin
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
Written on December 10, 2024 at 7:56 am, by anakin
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
El día de hoy, el Departamento de Trabajo de Estados Unidos publicó las esperadas cifras de Nóminas No Agrícolas (NFP) correspondientes a noviembre, mostrando la creación de 227,000 nuevos empleos, superando las expectativas del mercado que rondaban los 200,000. Sin embargo, la tasa de desempleo aumentó ligeramente a 4.2%, desde el 4.1% del mes anterior.
Este informe, que refleja un mercado laboral robusto pero con señales de moderación, genera implicaciones importantes para la economía estadounidense y los mercados financieros. Aquí analizamos los eventos más destacados y su impacto.
El mercado laboral: resiliente pero con matices Sólida creación de empleo:
La cifra de 227,000 empleos destaca la fortaleza de las contrataciones, a pesar de las tasas de interés más altas y los retos económicos globales. Sectores clave como el comercio, la salud y los servicios profesionales impulsaron esta cifra, demostrando que las empresas aún están expandiendo sus plantillas. Aumento en la tasa de desempleo:
La tasa de desempleo subió al 4.2%, un incremento que podría explicarse por la entrada de más personas al mercado laboral en busca de empleo. Este fenómeno es consistente con una economía que sigue generando oportunidades, aunque podría ser una señal temprana de que la demanda laboral está normalizándose. La postura de la Fed: cautela y enfoque en los datos Los resultados de hoy refuerzan la narrativa de que la economía de EE.UU. sigue siendo resiliente. Sin embargo, el aumento en la tasa de desempleo proporciona un margen para que la Reserva Federal mantenga una postura de “esperar y observar”. Esto es lo que probablemente seguirá la Fed:
Sin cambios inmediatos en tasas de interés:
La fortaleza del mercado laboral respalda la decisión de la Fed de mantener las tasas altas por más tiempo. Sin embargo, el aumento en la tasa de desempleo podría reducir la presión para endurecer más la política monetaria. Enfoque en la inflación:
Aunque el empleo es sólido, la Fed continuará monitoreando los datos de inflación (CPI y PCE) antes de tomar decisiones sobre posibles recortes de tasas en 2024. Comentarios de Jerome Powell:
Se espera que el presidente de la Fed reafirme su postura dependiente de los datos, destacando la fortaleza del mercado laboral mientras enfatiza la necesidad de contener las presiones inflacionarias. Impacto en los mercados financieros Dólar estadounidense (USD):
El dólar reaccionó con fuerza inicial debido a la sólida cifra de empleo, pero su avance fue limitado por el aumento en la tasa de desempleo, que plantea dudas sobre la continuidad del ritmo actual de contratación. Oro (XAU/USD):
El oro experimentó presión a la baja tras los datos de empleo, ya que un mercado laboral fuerte reduce la demanda de activos de refugio. Sin embargo, la subida en la tasa de desempleo ofreció cierto soporte, limitando las caídas. EUR/USD:
El par EUR/USD mostró volatilidad intradía. La fortaleza inicial del dólar llevó al par hacia niveles de soporte en torno a 1.0500, pero el aumento en la tasa de desempleo evitó una caída más pronunciada. Conclusión El informe de hoy de Nóminas No Agrícolas pintó un cuadro de un mercado laboral resiliente, pero con signos de normalización. Con 227,000 empleos creados y una tasa de desempleo en 4.2%, la Fed probablemente mantendrá una postura cautelosa, manteniendo las tasas altas mientras evalúa la evolución de la inflación y el crecimiento económico.
En los mercados, el dólar y el oro mostraron movimientos moderados, mientras que el EUR/USD se mantuvo en un rango ajustado. Este equilibrio entre datos sólidos y señales de moderación plantea un escenario interesante para las próximas decisiones de política monetaria y el comportamiento de los activos financieros.
Written on December 6, 2024 at 7:12 pm, by eduardo
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:
The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact info@vtmarkets.com.
El informe de Nóminas No Agrícolas (NFP) de noviembre, uno de los indicadores económicos más esperados, será publicado mañana. Este dato no solo revela la cantidad de empleos creados en el último mes, sino que también proporciona una visión clave sobre la salud del mercado laboral estadounidense y su impacto en las decisiones de la Reserva Federal. Sin embargo, las proyecciones para este informe están divididas, con estimaciones que oscilan entre 100,000 y más de 200,000 nuevos empleos. Aquí desglosamos lo que necesitas saber.
Factores que respaldan una proyección más moderada (100,000-120,000 empleos): Datos recientes del mercado laboral:
Informe de empleo ADP: Se registraron 146,000 nuevos empleos en el sector privado, una cifra inferior a las expectativas, lo que sugiere que el ritmo de contratación se está moderando. Solicitudes de subsidio por desempleo: Aunque las solicitudes iniciales aumentaron ligeramente, todavía se mantienen en niveles históricamente bajos, indicando un mercado laboral ajustado pero no expansivo. Tendencia reciente en NFP: En octubre, las NFP sorprendieron a la baja con solo 12,000 empleos creados, reflejando posibles efectos de desaceleración económica. Impacto de la política monetaria:
La Reserva Federal ha mantenido tasas de interés altas durante todo el año, lo que incrementa los costos de financiamiento para las empresas, incentivándolas a limitar nuevas contrataciones. Jerome Powell, presidente de la Fed, ha señalado que el mercado laboral sigue siendo fuerte, pero también mencionó que los efectos acumulados de la política monetaria restrictiva están comenzando a sentirse. Estacionalidad:
La contratación en sectores como comercio minorista y logística tiende a ser más estacional, pero fuera de estas áreas, la actividad suele disminuir hacia finales de año. ¿Por qué algunos analistas esperan más de 200,000 empleos? Efectos temporales y rebotes:
La caída en el empleo de octubre se atribuyó a factores temporales como interrupciones por huracanes y huelgas en la industria aeroespacial. Ahora que estos factores han sido resueltos, es posible un rebote significativo en las contrataciones. Resiliencia del mercado laboral:
Los datos de vacantes laborales (JOLTS) muestran un aumento a 7.744 millones en octubre, lo que indica que las empresas aún están buscando trabajadores activamente. Optimismo en ciertos sectores:
Sectores como tecnología, logística y salud han mantenido niveles robustos de contratación para prepararse para desafíos futuros, lo que podría influir en las cifras generales. Impacto en el mercado: ¿Qué significan las NFP para el dólar y el oro? Dólar (USD):
Si el reporte supera los 200,000 empleos: Esto fortalecería al dólar, ya que confirmaría la resiliencia económica de EE. UU. y reduciría la probabilidad de recortes inmediatos en las tasas por parte de la Fed. Si el reporte es moderado (100,000-120,000 empleos): El dólar podría mantenerse estable o debilitarse ligeramente, dependiendo de cómo interprete el mercado los datos en relación con las expectativas. Oro (XAU/USD):
Reporte sólido: Un mercado laboral fuerte ejerce presión a la baja sobre el oro, ya que aumenta el costo de oportunidad de mantener este activo, que no genera intereses. Reporte débil: Si el informe de empleo decepciona, el oro podría subir debido a un aumento en la demanda de refugios seguros y la expectativa de una política monetaria más acomodaticia. Lo que dice Jerome Powell y el mercado de tasas Jerome Powell ha señalado que la economía de EE. UU. sigue mostrando fortaleza, pero la Fed está dispuesta a ser cautelosa con futuros recortes de tasas. Según la herramienta CME FedWatch, las probabilidades de un recorte de 25 puntos básicos en diciembre han disminuido, lo que refleja que el mercado espera un enfoque más prudente de la Fed.
Conclusión El reporte de NFP de noviembre está en el centro de atención, con expectativas divididas entre una recuperación significativa (más de 200,000 empleos) y una moderación (100,000-120,000 empleos). Este informe será clave para determinar la dirección del dólar, el oro y las futuras políticas de la Reserva Federal.
Independientemente del resultado, es importante considerar el contexto más amplio: un mercado laboral sólido, pero con señales de desaceleración, y una Fed que mantiene su cautela frente a la incertidumbre económica global.
Written on December 5, 2024 at 10:22 pm, by eduardo
The world of investment is experiencing a seismic shift, with artificial intelligence (AI) emerging as the driving force that is radically transforming traditional stock market paradigms. As 2024 draws to a close, the S&P 500 has reached a remarkable milestone, climbing to a record high of 6,001.35 with a year-to-date gain of 25.8%.
Amidst global economic challenges including high inflation, supply chain constraints, and geopolitical tensions, AI stands out as a beacon of innovation and potential growth, offering investors a promising avenue for strategic investment.
The AI investment landscape
The investment world is experiencing a critical transition from AI speculation to substantive results. According to recent market research, global AI investment has surged to an estimated 200 billion USD in 2024, with venture capital firms and tech giants pouring unprecedented resources into the sector.
Investors are no longer satisfied with mere promises; they demand tangible evidence of AI’s value creation. Financial experts are calling this the “show me” moment for technology companies, where the focus has shifted from potential to actual revenue generation and strategic implementation.
A comprehensive analysis by McKinsey reveals that AI could potentially contribute up to 4.4 trillion USD annually to the global economy. This staggering figure underscores why investors are increasingly bullish about AI-related investments. The sector has seen a remarkable 67% increase in funding compared to the previous year, with semiconductor and cloud computing companies leading the charge.
This scrutiny comes at a time when technology giants are investing heavily in AI infrastructure. Cloud computing behemoths like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are pouring billions into data centre expansions, AI chips, and research and development.
Industry estimates suggest that these companies have collectively invested over 50 billion USD in AI infrastructure in 2024 alone. The key question remains: how much incremental AI-related revenue are these investments generating?
Meta platforms: Social media’s AI transformation
Meta Platforms represents a compelling case study in AI-driven transformation. With a market capitalisation of 1.5 trillion USD, the company has leveraged artificial intelligence to revolutionise its core business model. Its AI-powered recommendation systems have demonstrably increased user engagement, with Facebook seeing an 8% rise and Instagram a 6% increase in user interaction.
More impressively, over one million advertisers now utilise Meta’s generative AI tools, boosting ad conversions by 7%. The company’s strategic hire of Clara Shih from Salesforce to head a new “Business AI” group underscores its commitment to AI innovation. The company’s AI assistant has already reached 500 million monthly active users, positioning itself as a potential global leader in conversational AI.
The open-source Llama AI model has seen extraordinary growth, with downloads reaching 350 million by August 2024 – a tenfold increase from the previous year. Meta is actively working on Llama 4 models, training them on massive GPU clusters, signalling a long-term commitment to AI development.
Financially, Meta presents a robust investment opportunity, with double-digit revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet boasting 70.9 billion USD in cash against 28.8 billion USD in debt. The stock has gained an impressive 62% in 2024, making it an attractive option for investors.
Microsoft: Powering enterprise AI
Microsoft continues to be a powerhouse in the AI ecosystem, its 13-billion-USD partnership with OpenAI proving transformational. The technology giant’s AI business is projected to cross 10 billion USD in annual revenue, making it the fastest-growing segment in the company’s history.
Azure cloud services have grown by 33% year-on-year, with AI services contributing significantly to this expansion. However, the company faces challenges with data centre capacity constraints, which have tempered growth expectations.
The company’s Microsoft 365 Copilot has gained substantial traction, with nearly 70% of Fortune 500 companies now utilising the service.
Despite some concerns about Azure’s revenue growth, Microsoft’s comprehensive approach to AI – spanning hardware, software, models, and frameworks – presents a compelling investment narrative. The stock has gained 12% in 2024, reflecting both challenges and opportunities in the rapidly evolving AI market.
Micron Technology: The memory backbone of AI
Micron Technology offers a different perspective on AI investment, focusing on the critical infrastructure that powers artificial intelligence. As a key provider of high-performance memory for data centres, Micron is strategically positioned in the AI ecosystem.
The high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market is expected to explode from 4 billion USD in 2023 to 25 billion USD by 2025, with Micron targeting a 20-25% market share. The company’s technological advancements, including transitions to advanced DRAM and NAND technologies, make it an intriguing option for investors.
Notably, Micron’s HBM chips are already sold out until 2025, providing exceptional revenue visibility and predictability. This demand underscores the critical role of memory technology in AI infrastructure.
Future outlook and investment considerations
The AI landscape continues to evolve rapidly. Software companies are increasingly pivoting towards AI agents, while semiconductor firms continue to outperform in AI-related investments. The market is witnessing a shift from AI model training to AI application inference, opening new avenues for technological innovation.
Ready to capitalise on cutting-edge investment opportunities? Open a live trading account with VT Markets today and position yourself at the forefront of emerging technological investments. With our advanced trading platforms and expert market insights, you can seamlessly translate these AI market trends into potential trading strategies.
Investors should remain cautious yet optimistic. The AI market is not without challenges, including regulatory scrutiny, potential capacity constraints, and the ongoing question of monetisation. The potential appointment of an “AI czar” under the new administration could further reshape the regulatory landscape.
As we approach 2025, the AI stock market presents a landscape of unprecedented opportunity. Meta, Microsoft, and Micron demonstrate how companies are not just adopting AI but fundamentally reimagining their business models. For investors willing to conduct thorough research and maintain a strategic approach, the AI sector offers exciting prospects for growth and innovation.
While past performance does not guarantee future results, these companies showcase the potential of strategic AI implementation. Diversification, careful analysis, and a long-term perspective remain key to navigating this dynamic investment landscape.
Optimisation Hours:
07th of December 2024 (Saturday) 00:00–03:00 (GMT+2)
Please note that the following aspects might be affected during the optimisation:
1. The price quote and trading management for the optimised products will be temporarily disabled during the optimisation period.You will not be able to open new positions, close open positions, or make any adjustments to trades.
2. There might be a gap between the original price and the price after optimisation.Gaps between Pending Orders, Stop Loss, and Take Profit will be filled at the market price once the maintenance is completed. It is suggested that you manage the account properly.
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